Subjective beliefs and economic preferences during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Unlabelled: The COVID-19 pandemic presents a remarkable opportunity to put to work all of the research that has been undertaken in past decades on the elicitation and structural estimation of subjective belief distributions as well as preferences over atemporal risk, patience, and intertemporal risk. As contributors to elements of that research in laboratories and the field, we drew together those methods and applied them to an online, incentivized experiment in the United States. We have two major findings.

Eliciting Beliefs about COVID-19 Prevalence and Mortality: Epidemiological Models Compared with The Street.

Subjective belief elicitation about uncertain events has a long lineage in the economics and statistics literatures. Recent developments in the experimental elicitation and statistical estimation of subjective belief distributions allow inferences about whether these beliefs are biased relative to expert opinion, and the confidence with which they are held. Beliefs about COVID-19 prevalence and mortality interact with risk management efforts, so it is important to understand relationships between these beliefs and publicly disseminated statistics, particularly those based on evolving epidemiological models.

Literacy and the quality of index insurance decisions.

Unlabelled: There is widespread concern in developing countries with the expansion of formal insurance products to help manage significant risks. These concerns arise primarily from a lack of understanding of insurance products, general failures of financial literacy and the need to use relatively exotic products in order to keep costs down for poor households. We investigate the importance of incentivized measures for general understanding, as well as domain-specific knowledge of the decision context on the purchase and the quality of index insurance decisions.

Characteristics of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples attending Australian emergency departments.

Objective: Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander patients are overrepresented in Australian EDs. The present study aimed to assess their characteristics in utilising ED services at a national level.

Methods: This exploratory, quantitative study used 2016-2017 de-identified data from the National Non-admitted Patient Emergency Department Care Database to assess the proportions (with 95% confidence interval) of Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians across various aspects of ED presentations, including mode of arrival, triage scale, diagnosis information, episode end status and ED length of stay.

The Risk of Gambling Problems in the General Population: A Reconsideration.

We examine the manner in which the population prevalence of disordered gambling has usually been estimated, on the basis of surveys that suffer from a potential sample selection bias. General population surveys screen respondents using seemingly innocuous "trigger," "gateway" or "diagnostic stem" questions, applied before they ask the actual questions about gambling behavior and attitudes. Modeling the latent sample selection behavior generated by these trigger questions using up-to-date econometrics for sample selection bias correction leads to dramatically different inferences about population prevalence and comorbidities with other psychiatric disorders.

Behavioral responses to surveys about nicotine dependence.

Behavioral responses to surveys can significantly affect inferences about population prevalence unless correctly modeled statistically. An important case study is the prevalence of nicotine dependence, a formal psychiatric disorder satisfying clinical criteria. Data from the National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions in the United States are used, along with a flexible semi-nonparametric sample selection model.

Disordered Gambling Prevalence: Methodological Innovations in a General Danish Population Survey.

We study Danish adult gambling behavior with an emphasis on discovering patterns relevant to public health forecasting and economic welfare assessment of policy. Methodological innovations include measurement of formative in addition to reflective constructs, estimation of prospective risk for developing gambling disorder rather than risk of being falsely negatively diagnosed, analysis with attention to sample weights and correction for sample selection bias, estimation of the impact of trigger questions on prevalence estimates and sample characteristics, and distinguishing between total and marginal effects of risk-indicating factors. The most significant novelty in our design is that nobody was excluded on the basis of their response to a 'trigger' or 'gateway' question about previous gambling history.

Estimating the subjective risks of driving simulator accidents.

We examine the subjective risks of driving behavior using a controlled virtual reality experiment. Use of a driving simulator allows us to observe choices over risky alternatives that are presented to the individual in a naturalistic manner, with many of the cues one would find in the field. However, the use of a simulator allows us the type of controls one expects from a laboratory environment.

Individual discount rates and smoking: evidence from a field experiment in Denmark.

We elicit measures of individual discount rates from a representative sample of the Danish population and test two substantive hypotheses. The first hypothesis is that smokers have higher individual discount rates than non-smokers. The second hypothesis is that smokers are more likely to have time inconsistent preferences than non-smokers, where time inconsistency is indicated by a hyperbolic discounting function.

Chronic dietary L-arginine down-regulates adenosine receptor and nitric oxide synthase expression in rat heart.

L-Arginine increases myocardial nitric oxide production. Nitric oxide mediates many of the cardiovascular actions of adenosine and modulates adenosine metabolism. In this study, we examined the effect of chronic L-arginine (5%) intake on cardiac nitric oxide synthase (NOS) and adenosine receptor expression and cardiac function in rat Langendorff-isolated perfused hearts.

Procedural skills quality assurance among Australasian College for Emergency Medicine fellows and trainees.

Objective: Presently, no objective quality control mechanism exists for monitoring procedural skills among Australasian College for Emergency Medicine trainees. The present study examined trainee and fellow procedural experience and perceived competency, participation in accredited training courses and support for a procedural logbook.

Methods: A cross-sectional mail survey of Australasian College for Emergency Medicine advanced trainees and fellows was performed.

l-Arginine attenuates cardiovascular impairment in DOCA-salt hypertensive rats.

Nitric oxide (NO) is essential for normal function of the cardiovascular system. This study has determined whether chronic administration of l-arginine, the biological precursor of NO, attenuates the development of structural and functional changes in hearts and blood vessels of deoxycorticosterone acetate (DOCA)-salt hypertensive rats. Uninephrectomized rats treated with DOCA (25 mg every 4th day sc) and 1% NaCl in the drinking water for 4 wk were treated with l-arginine (5% in food, 3.

Selenium supplementation and ischemia-reperfusion injury in rats.

Cardiac ischemia--reperfusion injury results in oxidative stress and poor physiological recovery. This study examined the amount of lipid and protein oxidation during ischemia-reperfusion to assess the degree of oxidative stress. Selenium supplementation was used to alter the antioxidant status of rats and the recovery of myocardial function post ischemia-reperfusion was investigated.

Effects of dietary selenium on glutathione peroxidase and thioredoxin reductase activity and recovery from cardiac ischemia-reperfusion.

Glutathione peroxidase and thioredoxin reductase are selenocysteine-dependent enzymes that protect against oxidative injury. This study examined the effects of dietary selenium on the activity of these two enzymes in rats, and investigated the ability of selenium to modulate myocardial function post ischemia-reperfusion. Male wistar rats were fed diets containing 0, 50, 240 and 1000 microg/kg sodium selenite for 5 weeks.

Auranofin increases apoptosis and ischaemia-reperfusion injury in the rat isolated heart.

Auranofin, an antirheumatic gold compound, is an inhibitor of selenocysteine enzymes, such as thioredoxin reductase and glutathione peroxidase. These enzymes play an important role in protecting cardiac tissue from oxidative stress generated during ischaemia-reperfusion. Auranofin (100 mg/kg) was administered to rats and their hearts were subjected to an in vitro model of ischaemia-reperfusion.

Age-related changes in cardiac adenosine receptor expression.

Adenosine is an important cardioprotective agent that works via several adenosine receptor (ADOR) subtypes to regulate cardiovascular activity. It is well established that functional responses to adenosine decline with age. What is unclear, though, is whether these changes occur at the receptor, second messenger or translational level.

Cardiac adaptation to endurance exercise in rats.

Endurance exercise is widely assumed to improve cardiac function in humans. This project has determined cardiac function following endurance exercise for 6 (n = 30) or 12 (n = 25) weeks in male Wistar rats (8 weeks old). The exercise protocol was 30 min/day at 0.

Glycolytic buffering affects cardiac bioenergetic signaling and contractile reserve similar to creatine kinase.

Creatine kinase (CK) and glycolysis represent important energy-buffering processes in the cardiac myocyte. Although the role of compartmentalized CK in energy transfer has been investigated intensely, similar duties for intracellular glycolysis have not been demonstrated. By measuring the response time of mitochondrial oxygen consumption to dynamic workload jumps (tmito) in isolated rabbit hearts, we studied the effect of inhibiting energetic systems (CK and/or glycolysis) on transcytosolic signal transduction that couples cytosolic ATP hydrolysis to activation of oxidative phosphorylation.

Enhanced adenosine A(2B) mediated coronary response in reserpinised rat heart.

In this study, we investigated the effect of noradrenaline depletion on contractile recovery in rat isolated heart following myocardial ischaemia. Groups tested included control tissues and hearts from reserpinised rats. Reserpine 1 mg/kg s.

Evaluating the tobacco settlement damage awards: too much or not enough?

Objectives: This study compared the present economic value of the 1998 tobacco settlement with the present economic value of the damages attributable to tobacco.

Methods: The 1987 National Medical Expenditure Survey was used to estimate the smoking attributable fraction (SAF) of medical expenditures. SAFs were then applied to Medicaid and other expenditures.

Study of the novel non-xanthine heterocyclic compound GU285 as a potent non-selective adenosine receptor antagonist in the rat.

The novel pyrazolo[3,4-d]pyrimidine compound GU285 (4-amino-6-alpha-carbamoylethylthio-1- phenylpyrazolo[3,4-d]pyrimidine, CAS 134896-40-5) was examined for its ability (1) to inhibit binding of adenosine (ADO) receptor ligands in rat brain membranes, (2) to antagonise functional responses to ADO agonists in rat right and left atria and coronary resistance vessels, and (3) to reduce the fall in heart rate and arterial blood pressure produced by the ADO A1 agonist N6-cyclopentyladenosine (CPA) in the intact, anaesthetized rat. GU285 competitively inhibited binding of the ADO A1 agonist [3H]-R-N6-phenylisopropyladenosine (R-PIA) yielding a Ki value of 11 (7-18) nmol.l-1 (geometric mean +/- 95% Cl).

Effects of A(3) adenosine receptor activation and gene knock-out in ischemic-reperfused mouse heart.

Objectives: To characterize effects of A(3) adenosine receptor (A(3)AR) activation and gene knock-out on responses to ischemia-reperfusion in mouse heart.

Methods: Perfused hearts from wild-type and A(3)AR gene knock-out (A(3)AR KO) mice were subjected to 20 min ischemia and 30 min reperfusion. Functional responses were assessed and changes in energy metabolism and cytosolic pH monitored via 31P-NMR spectroscopy.