Predicting the peak growth velocity in the individual child: validation of a new growth model.

Predicting the peak growth velocity in an individual patient with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis is essential or determining the prognosis of the disorder and timing of the (surgical) treatment. Until the present time, no accurate method has been found to predict the timing and magnitude of the pubertal growth spurt in the individual child. A mathematical model was developed in which the partial individual growth velocity curve was linked to the generic growth velocity curve.

The growth of different body length dimensions is not predictive for the peak growth velocity of sitting height in the individual child.

The aim of this study was to determine whether the differences in timing of the peak growth velocity (PGV) between sitting height, total body height, subischial leg length, and foot length can be used to predict whether the individual patient with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis is before or past his or her PGV of sitting height. Furthermore, ratios of growth of different body parts were considered in order to determine their value in prediction of the PGV of sitting height in the individual patient. Ages of the PGV were determined for sitting height (n=360), total body height (n=432), subischial leg length (n=357), and foot length (n=263), and compared for the whole group and for the individual child in particular.