Modelling the downhill of the Sars-Cov-2 in Italy and a universal forecast of the epidemic in the world.

In a previous article [1] we have described the temporal evolution of the Sars-Cov-2 in Italy in the time window February 24-April 1. As we can see in [1] a generalized logistic equation captures both the peaks of the total infected and the deaths. In this article our goal is to study the missing peak, i.

Generalized maximum entropy approach to quasistationary states in long-range systems.

Systems with long-range interactions display a short-time relaxation towards quasistationary states (QSSs) whose lifetime increases with the system size. In the paradigmatic Hamiltonian mean-field model (HMF) out-of-equilibrium phase transitions are predicted and numerically detected which separate homogeneous (zero magnetization) and inhomogeneous (nonzero magnetization) QSSs. In the former regime, the velocity distribution presents (at least) two large, symmetric bumps, which cannot be self-consistently explained by resorting to the conventional Lynden-Bell maximum entropy approach.

Modeling warfare in social animals: a "chemical" approach.

We present here a general method for modelling the dynamics of battles among social animals. The proposed method exploits the procedures widely used to model chemical reactions, but still uncommon in behavioural studies. We applied this methodology to the interpretation of experimental observations of battles between two species of ants (Lasius neglectus and Lasius paralienus), but this scheme may have a wider applicability and can be extended to other species as well.

Modeling ant battles by means of a diffusion-limited Gillespie algorithm.

We propose two modeling approaches to describe the dynamics of ant battles, starting from laboratory experiments on the behavior of two ant species, the invasive Lasius neglectus and the authocthonus Lasius paralienus. This work is mainly motivated by the need to have realistic models to predict the interaction dynamics of invasive species. The two considered species exhibit different fighting strategies.

A dynamical population modeling of invasive species with reference to the crayfish Procambarus clarkii.

In this paper we present a discrete dynamical population modeling of invasive species, with reference to the swamp crayfish Procambarus clarkii. Since this species can cause environmental damage of various kinds, it is necessary to evaluate its expected in not yet infested areas. A structured discrete model is built, taking into account all biological information we were able to find, including the environmental variability implemented by means of stochastic parameters (coefficients of fertility, death, etc.