Publications by authors named "Gary G Koch"

Background: Sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors have been proposed as a potential treatment for adults hospitalised with COVID-19, due to their potential anti-inflammatory and endothelial protective effects. Published evidence from randomised control trials (RCTs) does not provide evidence of benefit. We aimed to estimate the effect of oral administration of SGLT2 inhibitors compared with usual care or placebo in adults hospitalised with COVID-19.

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Article Synopsis
  • Hereditary angioedema (HAE) causes serious swelling in different parts of the body, but new treatments help reduce attacks and improve patients' lives.
  • A survey with patients in six countries looked at how the time without attacks relates to their quality of life.
  • The results showed that being attack-free for longer periods made people feel better and needed less rescue medication.
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Aims: The objective of this study was to examine associations between elevated depressive symptoms and increased risk of adverse clinical events patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), as well as the potential contribution of health behaviours.

Methods And Results: One hundred forty-two men and women with HFrEF were enrolled through heart failure (HF) clinics and followed over time. At baseline and 6 months, depressive symptoms were assessed by the Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II) and HFrEF disease activity by B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP).

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Background: XC001 is a novel adenoviral-5 vector designed to express multiple isoforms of VEGF (vascular endothelial growth factor) and more safely and potently induce angiogenesis. The EXACT trial (Epicardial Delivery of XC001 Gene Therapy for Refractory Angina Coronary Treatment) assessed the safety and preliminary efficacy of XC001 in patients with no option refractory angina.

Methods: In this single-arm, multicenter, open-label trial, 32 patients with no option refractory angina received a single treatment of XC001 (1×10 viral particles) via transepicardial delivery.

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  • The study aimed to compare cardiovascular risks in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) receiving tofacitinib versus tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi).
  • It involved patients aged 50 and over with CV risk factors, evaluating rates of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and various individual cardiovascular outcomes.
  • The results indicated that while the overall risk of composite CV events was similar for both treatments, tofacitinib 10 mg was linked to a higher risk of certain outcomes compared to TNFi, particularly venous thromboembolism (VTE).
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Objective: The ORAL Surveillance trial found a dose-dependent increase in venous thromboembolism (VTE) and pulmonary embolism (PE) events with tofacitinib versus tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi). We aimed to assess VTE incidence over time and explore risk factors of VTE, including disease activity, in ORAL Surveillance.

Methods: Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) aged 50 years or older with at least one additional cardiovascular risk factor received tofacitinib 5 or 10 mg twice daily (BID) or TNFi.

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Insomnia and poor sleep are associated with an increased risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD) and its precursors, including hypertension. In 2022, the American Heart Association (AHA) added inadequate sleep to its list of health behaviors that increase the risk for CVD. It remains unknown, however, whether the successful treatment of insomnia and inadequate sleep can reduce heightened CVD risk.

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Background: Prior studies have demonstrated an association of depression with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with HFrEF, but the possible mechanisms responsible for the association are not unserstood.

Methods: 142 men and women with HFrEF were enrolled through HF clinics and followed over time. At baseline and 6-months, depression was assessed by the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI-II) and disease activity by B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP).

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  • The study aimed to assess the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) taking tofacitinib compared to those using tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), particularly focusing on individuals with or without a history of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).
  • Results indicated that tofacitinib users had a higher risk of MACE, myocardial infarction, and sudden cardiac death compared to TNFi, especially in patients with a history of ASCVD.
  • Although MACE risk for tofacitinib was not significantly different in patients without ASCVD, the analysis concluded that further investigation is needed due to its exploratory nature and limited statistical power.
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Objectives: To examine the validity and statistical limitations of exploratory analyses of clinical trial data commonly requested by agencies responsible for determining which medical products may be financed or reimbursed by a healthcare system.

Design: This was a retrospective review of efficacy and safety analyses conducted for German Health Technology Assessment (HTA) evaluations with a decision date between 2015 and 2020, and an illustrative safety-related exploratory analysis of data from two phase III clinical trials of verubecestat (an anti-amyloid drug whose development was stopped for lack of efficacy) as would be mandated by the German HTA agency.

Results: We identified 422 HTA evaluations of 404 randomised controlled clinical trials.

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Background/aim: DARE-19 (NCT04350593) was a randomized trial studying the effects of dapagliflozin, an SGLT2 inhibitor, in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia and cardiometabolic risk factors. The conduct of DARE-19 offered the opportunity to define an innovative and clinically meaningful endpoint in a new disease that would best reflect the known profile of dapagliflozin, accompanied by the statistical challenges of analysis and interpretation of such a novel endpoint.

Methods: Hierarchical composite endpoints (HCEs) are based on clinical outcomes which, unlike traditional composite endpoints incorporate ranking of components according to clinical importance.

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Background And Objectives: Patients who were hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection are at high risk of AKI and KRT, especially in the presence of CKD. The Dapagliflozin in Respiratory Failure in Patients with COVID-19 (DARE-19) trial showed that in patients hospitalized with COVID-19, treatment with dapagliflozin versus placebo resulted in numerically fewer participants who experienced organ failure or death, although these differences were not statistically significant. We performed a secondary analysis of the DARE-19 trial to determine the efficacy and safety of dapagliflozin on kidney outcomes in the overall population and in prespecified subgroups of participants defined by baseline eGFR.

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  • A study compared the effects of tofacitinib, a drug used for rheumatoid arthritis, to a TNF inhibitor on the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and cancers in older patients with cardiovascular risk factors.
  • After evaluating over 4 years, results showed that patients taking tofacitinib had higher rates of MACE and cancer compared to those on TNF inhibitors, indicating that tofacitinib was not as safe as the alternative.
  • Although both drugs showed similar effectiveness in treating rheumatoid arthritis, tofacitinib was also linked to a higher incidence of opportunistic infections and nonmelanoma skin cancers.
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The win odds is a distribution-free method of comparing locations of distributions of two independent random variables. Introduced as a method for analyzing hierarchical composite endpoints, it is well suited to be used in the analysis of ordinal scale endpoints in COVID-19 clinical trials. For a single outcome, we provide power and sample size calculation formulas for the win odds test.

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Background: COVID-19 can lead to multiorgan failure. Dapagliflozin, a SGLT2 inhibitor, has significant protective benefits for the heart and kidney. We aimed to see whether this agent might provide organ protection in patients with COVID-19 by affecting processes dysregulated during acute illness.

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Background And Aim: Liver histology changes are the current gold standard for evaluating non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), but are limited by their invasiveness and variability for sampling and interpretation. We evaluated noninvasive biomarkers as an indication of histologic changes in NASH.

Methods: Associations between 12-month biomarker and NASH Clinical Research Network histologic score changes in 339 patients with NASH in the EMMINENCE trial was examined with multivariable models and partial canonical correlation.

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Post marketing data offer rich information and cost-effective resources for physicians and policy-makers to address some critical scientific questions in clinical practice. However, the complex confounding structures (e.g.

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Aims: This retrospective analysis sought to identify markers that might distinguish between acute heart failure (HF) and worsening HF in chronic outpatients.

Methods And Results: The BIOSTAT-CHF index cohort included 2516 patients with new or worsening HF symptoms: 1694 enrolled as inpatients (acute HF) and 822 as outpatients (worsening HF in chronic outpatients). A validation cohort included 935 inpatients and 803 outpatients.

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Aims: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is caused by a novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. It can lead to multiorgan failure, including respiratory and cardiovascular decompensation, and kidney injury, with significant associated morbidity and mortality, particularly in patients with underlying metabolic, cardiovascular, respiratory or kidney disease. Dapagliflozin, a sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor, has shown significant cardio- and renoprotective benefits in patients with type 2 diabetes (with and without atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease), heart failure and chronic kidney disease, and may provide similar organ protection in high-risk patients with COVID-19.

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The win ratio is a general method of comparing locations of distributions of two independent, ordinal random variables, and it can be estimated without distributional assumptions. In this paper we provide a unified theory of win ratio estimation in the presence of stratification and adjustment by a numeric variable. Building step by step on the estimate of the crude win ratio we compare corresponding tests with well known non-parametric tests of group difference (Wilcoxon rank-sum test, Fligner-Policello test, van Elteren test, test based on the regression on ranks, and the rank analysis of covariance test).

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Background & Aims: Liver biopsies are a critical component of pivotal studies in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), constituting inclusion criteria, risk stratification factors and endpoints. We evaluated the reliability of NASH Clinical Research Network scoring of liver biopsies in a NASH clinical trial.

Methods: Digitized slides of 678 biopsies from 339 patients with paired biopsies randomized into the EMMINENCE study - examining a novel insulin sensitizer (MSDC-0602K) in NASH - were read independently by 3 hepatopathologists blinded to treatment code and scored using the NASH CRN histological scoring system.

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Objective: VOLUME is a randomized, open-label, post-approval pragmatic trial aiming to evaluate long-term pulmonary and cardiovascular safety of Exubera® (EXU; insulin human [rDNA origin] Inhalation Powder) in routine clinical practice. The primary study objective is to compare risk of persistent decline in forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV) among patients treated with and without EXU.

Research Design And Methods: Patients eligible to take EXU per approved local label were randomized to EXU or routine care and followed per usual care, with scheduled FEV tests at baseline, 6 months, and yearly.

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In monitoring clinical trials, the question of futility, or whether the data thus far suggest that the results at the final analysis are unlikely to be statistically successful, is regularly of interest over the course of a study. However, the opposite viewpoint of whether the study is sufficiently demonstrating proof of concept (POC) and should continue is a valuable consideration and ultimately should be addressed with high POC power so that a promising study is not prematurely terminated. Conditional power is often used to assess futility, and this article interconnects the ideas of assessing POC for the purpose of study continuation with conditional power, while highlighting the importance of the POC type I error and the POC type II error for study continuation or not at the interim analysis.

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