Publications by authors named "G B FORCHINI"
Background: The underlying health status of populations was a major determinant of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, particularly obesity prevalence. Mexico was one of the most severely affected countries during the COVID-19 pandemic and its obesity prevalence is among the highest in the world. It is unknown by how much the COVID-19 burden could have been reduced if systemic actions had been implemented to reduce excess weight in Mexico before the onset of the pandemic.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFObjectives: To estimate the expected socio-economic value of booster vaccination in terms of averted deaths and averted closures of businesses and schools using simulation modelling.
Methods: The value of booster vaccination in Indonesia is estimated by comparing simulated societal costs under a twelve-month, 187-million-dose Moderna booster vaccination campaign to costs without boosters. The costs of an epidemic and its mitigation consist of lost lives, economic closures and lost education; cost-minimising non-pharmaceutical mitigation is chosen for each scenario.
The COVID-19 pandemic and the mitigation policies implemented in response to it have resulted in economic losses worldwide. Attempts to understand the relationship between economics and epidemiology has led to a new generation of integrated mathematical models. The data needs for these models transcend those of the individual fields, especially where human interaction patterns are closely linked with economic activity.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFArticle Synopsis
- DAEDALUS is a model that combines the study of SARS-CoV-2 transmission with economic factors to find a balance between health and economic outcomes during a pandemic.
- It identifies specific strategies that allow the economy to produce while also controlling infections, ensuring hospitals aren't overwhelmed and essential services remain operational.
- In a case study of 63 sectors in the UK, DAEDALUS suggests that a targeted approach could lead to an economic gain of £161-193 billion compared to a complete lockdown of non-essential activities.
Background: In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, governments across the globe have imposed strict social distancing measures. Public compliance to such measures is essential for their success, yet the economic consequences of compliance are unknown. This is the first study to analyze the effects of good compliance compared with poor compliance to a COVID-19 suppression strategy (i.
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