An Abrupt Decline in Global Terrestrial Water Storage and Its Relationship with Sea Level Change.

Unlabelled: As observed by the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow On (GRACE-FO) missions, global terrestrial water storage (TWS), excluding ice sheets and glaciers, declined rapidly between May 2014 and March 2016. By 2023, it had not yet recovered, with the upper end of its range remaining 1 cm equivalent height of water below the upper end of the earlier range. Beginning with a record-setting drought in northeastern South America, a series of droughts on five continents helped to prevent global TWS from rebounding.

Reconciling land / ocean moisture transport variability in reanalyses with P-ET in observationally-driven land surface models.

Vertically-integrated atmospheric moisture transport from ocean to land, VMFC, is a dynamic component of the global climate system but remains problematic in atmospheric reanalyses with current estimates having significant multi-decadal global trends differing even in sign. Regional VMFC trends over continents are especially uncertain. Continual evolution of the global observing system, particularly step-wise improvements in satellite observations, has introduced discrete changes in the ability of data assimilation to correct systematic model biases, manifesting as non-physical variability.

Evidence for large decadal variability in the tropical mean radiative energy budget.

It is widely assumed that variations in Earth's radiative energy budget at large time and space scales are small. We present new evidence from a compilation of over two decades of accurate satellite data that the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) tropical radiative energy budget is much more dynamic and variable than previously thought. Results indicate that the radiation budget changes are caused by changes in tropical mean cloudiness.