Predicting Survival in Patients with Advanced NSCLC Treated with Atezolizumab Using Pre- and on-Treatment Prognostic Biomarkers.

Existing survival prediction models rely only on baseline or tumor kinetics data and lack machine learning integration. We introduce a novel kinetics-machine learning (kML) model that integrates baseline markers, tumor kinetics, and four on-treatment simple blood markers (albumin, C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase, and neutrophils). Developed for immune-checkpoint inhibition (ICI) in non-small cell lung cancer on three phase II trials (533 patients), kML was validated on the two arms of a phase III trial (ICI and chemotherapy, 377 and 354 patients).

Bridging the gap between two-stage and joint models: The case of tumor growth inhibition and overall survival models.

Many clinical trials generate both longitudinal biomarker and time-to-event data. We might be interested in their relationship, as in the case of tumor size and overall survival in oncology drug development. Many well-established methods exist for analyzing such data either sequentially (two-stage models) or simultaneously (joint models).

Uncertainty Computation at Finite Distance in Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models-a New Method Based on Metropolis-Hastings Algorithm.

The standard errors (SE) of the maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) of the population parameter vector in nonlinear mixed effect models (NLMEM) are usually estimated using the inverse of the Fisher information matrix (FIM). However, at a finite distance, i.e.

Tumor growth and overall survival modeling to support decision making in phase Ib/II trials: A comparison of the joint and two-stage approaches.

Model-based tumor growth inhibition (TGI) metrics are increasingly used to predict overall survival (OS) data in Phase III immunotherapy clinical trials. However, there is still a lack of understanding regarding the differences between two-stage or joint modeling methods to leverage Phase I/II trial data and help early decision-making. A recent study showed that TGI metrics such as the tumor growth rate constant K may have good operating characteristics as early endpoints.

Leukemia aggressiveness is driven by chromatin remodeling and expression changes of core regulators.

Molecular mechanisms driving clonal aggressiveness in leukemia are not fully understood. We tracked and analyzed MLL-rearranged leukemic clones independently evolving towards higher aggressiveness. More aggressive subclones lost their growth differential ex vivo but restored it upon secondary transplantation, suggesting molecular memory of aggressiveness.

Nucleic acid therapeutics as differentiation agents for myeloid leukemias.

Differentiation therapy has proven to be a success story for patients with acute promyelocytic leukemia. However, the remaining subtypes of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) are treated with cytotoxic chemotherapies that have limited efficacy and a high likelihood of resistance. As differentiation arrest is a hallmark of AML, there is increased interest in developing differentiation-inducing agents to enhance disease-free survival.

Duration of and time to response in oncology clinical trials from the perspective of the estimand framework.

Duration of response (DOR) and time to response (TTR) are typically evaluated as secondary endpoints in early-stage clinical studies in oncology when efficacy is assessed by the best overall response and presented as the overall response rate. Despite common use of DOR and TTR in particular in single-arm studies, the definition of these endpoints and the questions they are intended to answer remain unclear. Motivated by the estimand framework, we present relevant scientific questions of interest for DOR and TTR and propose corresponding estimand definitions.

CBFA2T3-GLIS2-dependent pediatric acute megakaryoblastic leukemia is driven by GLIS2 and sensitive to navitoclax.

Pediatric acute megakaryoblastic leukemia (AMKL) is an aggressive blood cancer associated with poor therapeutic response and high mortality. Here we describe the development of CBFA2T3-GLIS2-driven mouse models of AMKL that recapitulate the phenotypic and transcriptional signatures of the human disease. We show that an activating Ras mutation that occurs in human AMKL increases the penetrance and decreases the latency of CBF2AT3-GLIS2-driven AMKL.

PARP-1 improves leukemia outcomes by inducing parthanatos during chemotherapy.

Previous chemotherapy research has focused almost exclusively on apoptosis. Here, a standard frontline drug combination of cytarabine and idarubicin induces distinct features of caspase-independent, poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase 1 (PARP-1)-mediated programmed cell death "parthanatos" in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) cell lines (n = 3/10 tested), peripheral blood mononuclear cells from healthy human donors (n = 10/10 tested), and primary cell samples from patients with AML (n = 18/39 tested, French-American-British subtypes M4 and M5). A 3-fold improvement in survival rates is observed in the parthanatos-positive versus -negative patient groups (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.

Nonlinear multilevel joint model for individual lesion kinetics and survival to characterize intra-individual heterogeneity in patients with advanced cancer.

In advanced cancer patients, tumor burden is calculated using the sum of the longest diameters (SLD) of the target lesions, a measure that lumps all lesions together and ignores intra-patient heterogeneity. Here, we used a rich dataset of 342 metastatic bladder cancer patients treated with a novel immunotherapy agent to develop a Bayesian multilevel joint model that can quantify heterogeneity in lesion dynamics and measure their impact on survival. Using a nonlinear model of tumor growth inhibition, we estimated that dynamics differed greatly among lesions, and inter-lesion variability accounted for 21% and 28% of the total variance in tumor shrinkage and treatment effect duration, respectively.

The bone marrow stroma in human myelodysplastic syndrome reveals alterations that regulate disease progression.

Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDSs) are a heterogenous group of diseases affecting the hematopoietic stem cell that are curable only by stem cell transplantation. Both hematopoietic cell intrinsic changes and extrinsic signals from the bone marrow (BM) niche seem to ultimately lead to MDS. Animal models of MDS indicate that alterations in specific mesenchymal progenitor subsets in the BM microenvironment can induce or select for abnormal hematopoietic cells.

Defining estimands for efficacy assessment in single arm phase 1b or phase 2 clinical trials in oncology early development.

The addendum of the ICH E9 guideline on the statistical principles for clinical trials introduced the estimand framework. The framework is designed to strengthen the dialog between different stakeholders, to introduce greater clarity in the clinical trial objectives and to provide alignment between the estimand and statistical analysis. Estimand framework related publications thus far have mainly focused on randomized clinical trials.

Entrectinib dose confirmation in pediatric oncology patients: pharmacokinetic considerations.

Purpose: Entrectinib is a central nervous system-active potent inhibitor of tropomyosin receptor kinase (TRK), with anti-tumor activity against neurotrophic NTRK gene fusion-positive tumors. This study investigates the pharmacokinetics of entrectinib and its active metabolite (M5) in pediatric patients and aims to understand whether the pediatric dose of 300 mg/m once daily (QD) provides an exposure that is consistent with the approved adult dose (600 mg QD).

Methods: Forty-three patients aged from birth to 22 years were administered entrectinib (250-750 mg/m QD) orally with food in 4-week cycles.

Association of Higher Ocrelizumab Exposure With Reduced Disability Progression in Multiple Sclerosis.

Background And Objectives: Ocrelizumab improved clinical and MRI measures of disease activity and progression in three phase 3 multiple sclerosis (MS) studies. Post hoc analyses demonstrated a correlation between the ocrelizumab serum concentration and the degree of blood B-cell depletion, and body weight was identified as the most influential covariate on ocrelizumab pharmacokinetics. The magnitude of ocrelizumab treatment benefit on disability progression was greater in lighter vs heavier patients.

Support to early clinical decisions in drug development and personalised medicine with checkpoint inhibitors using dynamic biomarker-overall survival models.

Longitudinal models of biomarkers such as tumour size dynamics capture treatment efficacy and predict treatment outcome (overall survival) of a variety of anticancer therapies, including chemotherapies, targeted therapies, immunotherapies and their combinations. These pharmacological endpoints like tumour dynamic (tumour growth inhibition) metrics have been proposed as alternative endpoints to complement the classical RECIST endpoints (objective response rate, progression-free survival) to support early decisions both at the study level in drug development as well as at the patients level in personalised therapy with checkpoint inhibitors. This perspective paper presents recent developments and future directions to enable wider and robust use of model-based decision frameworks based on pharmacological endpoints.

Trained immunity and epigenetic memory in long-term self-renewing hematopoietic cells.

Immunologic memory is a feature typically ascribed to the adaptive arm of the immune system. However, recent studies have demonstrated that hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs) and innate immune cells such as monocytes and macrophages can gain epigenetic signatures to enhance their response in the context of reinfection. This suggests the presence of long-term memory, a phenomenon referred to as trained immunity.

Multistate Pharmacometric Model to Define the Impact of Second-Line Immunotherapies on the Survival Outcome of the IMpower131 Study.

Overall survival is defined as the time since randomization into the clinical trial to event of death or censor (end of trial or follow-up), and is considered to be the most reliable cancer end point. However, the introduction of second-line treatment after disease progression could influence survival and be considered a confounding factor. The aim of the current study was to set up a multistate model framework, using data from the IMpower131 study, to investigate the influence of second-line immunotherapies on overall survival analysis.

Tumor Dynamic Model-Based Decision Support for Phase Ib/II Combination Studies: A Retrospective Assessment Based on Resampling of the Phase III Study IMpower150.

Purpose: Model-based tumor growth inhibition (TGI) metrics are increasingly incorporated into go/no-go decisions in early clinical studies. To apply this methodology to new investigational combinations requires independent evaluation of TGI metrics in recently completed Phase III trials of effective immunotherapy.

Patients And Methods: Data were extracted from IMpower150, a positive, randomized, Phase III study of first-line therapy in 1,202 patients with non-small cell lung cancer.

EIF4A inhibition targets bioenergetic homeostasis in AML MOLM-14 cells in vitro and in vivo and synergizes with cytarabine and venetoclax.

Background: Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is an aggressive hematological cancer resulting from uncontrolled proliferation of differentiation-blocked myeloid cells. Seventy percent of AML patients are currently not cured with available treatments, highlighting the need of novel therapeutic strategies. A promising target in AML is the mammalian target of rapamycin complex 1 (mTORC1).