The SEIRD (Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, Recovered, and Dead) model is a mathematical model based on dynamic equations; widely used for characterization of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this paper, a different approach has been discussed, which is the development of predictive models for the SEIRD variables that have been based on the historical data collected, and the context variables to where this model has been applied to. Particularly, the context variables examined in this paper include total population, number of people over 65 years old, poverty index, morbidity rates, average age, and population density.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFCardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of death and account for the largest share of health expenditure worldwide, mainly invested in hospital and secondary care. Prevention and rehabilitation strategies are nearly neglected, therefore "the Cinderellas," in the health-care budget. The World Health Organization has proposed cost-effective interventions to reduce the impact of cardiovascular diseases that include polydrug treatment for hypertension and diabetes, counselling, diet, exercise, and others.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFFeed-forward artificial neural networks (ANNs), trained with the generalized delta rule, were evaluated for modeling the non-linear behavior of calibration curves and increasing the working range for the determination of cadmium by graphite furnace atomic absorption spectrometry (GFAAS). Selection of this analyte was made on the basis of its short linear range (up to 4.0mugl(-1)).
View Article and Find Full Text PDFCopper, zinc and iron concentrations were determined in "aguardiente de Cocuy de Penca" (Cocuy de Penca firewater), a spirituous beverage very popular in the North-Western region of Venezuela, by flame atomic absorption spectrometry (FAAS). These elements were selected for their presence can be traced to the (illegal) manufacturing process of the aforementioned beverages. Linear and quadratic discriminant analysis (QDA), and artificial neural networks (ANNs) trained with the backpropagation algorithm were employed for estimating if such beverages can be distinguished based on the concentrations of these elements in the final product, and whether it is possible to assess the geographic location of the manufacturers (Lara or Falcón states) and the presence or absence of sugar in the end product.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFA generalized regression artificial neural network (GRANN) was developed and evaluated for modeling cadmium's nonlinear calibration curve in order to extend its upper concentration limit from 4.0 microg L-1 up to 22.0 microg L-1.
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