Cost-benefit analysis of Canada's Prison Needle Exchange Program for the prevention of hepatitis C and injection-related infections.

Background: Needle exchange programs are effective public health interventions that reduce blood-borne infections, including hepatitis C, and injection-related infections. We sought to assess the return on investment of existing Prison Needle Exchange Programs (PNEPs) in Canadian federal prisons and their expansion to all 43 institutions.

Methods: We developed a stochastic compartmental model that estimated hepatitis C and injection-related infections under different PNEP scenarios in Canadian federal prisons.

Frequent and unpredictable changes in COVID-19 policies and restrictions reduce the accuracy of model forecasts.

Between June and August 2020, an agent-based model was used to project rates of COVID-19 infection incidence and cases diagnosed as positive from 15 September to 31 October 2020 for 72 geographic settings. Five scenarios were modelled: a baseline scenario where no future changes were made to existing restrictions, and four scenarios representing small or moderate changes in restrictions at two intervals. Post hoc, upper and lower bounds for number of diagnosed Covid-19 cases were compared with actual data collected during the prediction window.

Cost optimisation analysis of the expanded programme for immunisation: balancing equity and coverage in Pakistan.

Introduction: With limited resources, attaining maximal average health service coverage can be at odds with maximising equity which attempts to promote greater reach among underserved populations. In this study, we examined the trade-offs in immunisation coverage levels and equity for children under 5 years of age in Pakistan across various subpopulations who can be targeted with different combinations of immunisation service modalities.

Methods: We conducted a detailed costing exercise across 16 geographically and demographically diverse districts in Pakistan.