Development and validation of a multivariable preoperative prediction model for postoperative length of stay in a broad inpatient surgical population.

Background: Postoperative length of stay is a meaningful patient-centered outcome and an important determinant of healthcare costs. The Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System preoperatively predicts 12 postoperative adverse events using 8 preoperative variables, but its ability to predict postoperative length of stay has not been assessed. We aimed to determine whether the Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System variables could accurately predict postoperative length of stay up to 30 days in a broad inpatient surgical population.

Preoperative Prediction of Unplanned Reoperation in a Broad Surgical Population.

Introduction: Unplanned reoperation is an undesirable outcome with considerable risks and an increasingly assessed quality of care metric. There are no preoperative prediction models for reoperation after an index surgery in a broad surgical population in the literature. The Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System (SURPAS) preoperatively predicts 12 postoperative adverse events using 8 preoperative variables, but its ability to predict unplanned reoperation has not been assessed.