Smooth multi-period forecasting with application to prediction of COVID-19 cases.

Forecasting methodologies have always attracted a lot of attention and have become an especially hot topic since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this paper we consider the problem of multi-period forecasting that aims to predict several horizons at once. We propose a novel approach that forces the prediction to be "smooth" across horizons and apply it to two tasks: point estimation via regression and interval prediction via quantile regression.

Canonical correlation analysis in high dimensions with structured regularization.

Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) is a technique for measuring the association between two multivariate data matrices. A regularized modification of canonical correlation analysis (RCCA) which imposes an penalty on the CCA coefficients is widely used in applications with high-dimensional data. One limitation of such regularization is that it ignores any data structure, treating all the features equally, which can be ill-suited for some applications.

An open repository of real-time COVID-19 indicators.

The COVID-19 pandemic presented enormous data challenges in the United States. Policy makers, epidemiological modelers, and health researchers all require up-to-date data on the pandemic and relevant public behavior, ideally at fine spatial and temporal resolution. The COVIDcast API is our attempt to fill this need: Operational since April 2020, it provides open access to both traditional public health surveillance signals (cases, deaths, and hospitalizations) and many auxiliary indicators of COVID-19 activity, such as signals extracted from deidentified medical claims data, massive online surveys, cell phone mobility data, and internet search trends.

Relating whole-brain functional connectivity to self-reported negative emotion in a large sample of young adults using group regularized canonical correlation analysis.

The goal of our study was to use functional connectivity to map brain function to self-reports of negative emotion. In a large dataset of healthy individuals derived from the Human Connectome Project (N = 652), first we quantified functional connectivity during a negative face-matching task to isolate patterns induced by emotional stimuli. Then, we did the same in a complementary task-free resting state condition.

Principal curve approaches for inferring 3D chromatin architecture.

Three-dimensional (3D) genome spatial organization is critical for numerous cellular processes, including transcription, while certain conformation-driven structural alterations are frequently oncogenic. Genome architecture had been notoriously difficult to elucidate, but the advent of the suite of chromatin conformation capture assays, notably Hi-C, has transformed understanding of chromatin structure and provided downstream biological insights. Although many findings have flowed from direct analysis of the pairwise proximity data produced by these assays, there is added value in generating corresponding 3D reconstructions deriving from superposing genomic features on the reconstruction.