Mechanistic species distribution modeling reveals a niche shift during invasion.

Niche shifts of nonnative plants can occur when they colonize novel climatic conditions. However, the mechanistic basis for niche shifts during invasion is poorly understood and has rarely been captured within species distribution models. We quantified the consequence of between-population variation in phenology for invasion of common ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia L.

Phenological Variation in Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. Facilitates Near Future Establishment at Northern Latitudes.

The invasive weed Ambrosia artemisiifolia (common ragweed) constitutes a great threat to public health and agriculture in large areas of the globe. Climate change, characterized by higher temperatures and prolonged vegetation periods, could increase the risk of establishment in northern Europe in the future. However, as the species is a short-day plant that requires long nights to induce bloom formation, it might still fail to produce mature seeds before the onset of winter in areas at northern latitudes characterized by short summer nights.

Annual variation of airborne pollen in the city of Vinkovci, northeastern Croatia.

Pollen concentration in the atmosphere of Vinkovci (northeastern Croatia) has been analyzed using a Hirst-type volumetric spore trap. During the year 2005, 58 pollen types were recorded with the sum of annual totals of 14,011. The pollen spectrum reflected the floristic diversity of the region.

Airborne ragweed pollen concentration in north-eastern Croatia and its relationship with meteorological parameters.

Airborne ragweed pollen concentration in the north-eastern part of Croatia was investigated in relation to some meteorological factors. Data was obtained for three consecutive years (2001, 2002 and 2003) using volumetric method (Burkard trap). The correlation between the concentration of pollen grains in the atmosphere and maximum, minimum and mean daily temperature, daily temperature range, sunshine hours, relative humidity and precipitation from daily monitoring was studied.