Publications by authors named "Dilshad Shawki"

Article Synopsis
  • The data descriptor covers key scientific insights from General Circulation Models (GCMs) used in the Precipitation Driver and Response Model Intercomparison Project (PDRMIP), focusing on climate responses to changes in greenhouse gases, aerosols, and solar radiation.
  • It provides global and annual mean results from a wide range of coupled atmospheric-ocean GCM simulations, emphasizing the importance of single idealized perturbations to understand climate behavior better.
  • The dataset is designed to be user-friendly, offering an accessible way to extract files, and is expected to support research on complex GCMs and Earth System Models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.
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We investigate the climate response to increased concentrations of black carbon (BC), as part of the Precipitation Driver Response Model Intercomparison Project (PDRMIP). A tenfold increase in BC is simulated by 9 global coupled-climate models, producing a model-median effective radiative forcing (ERF) of 0.82 (ranging from 0.

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We conducted a case study of NCEP CFSv2 seasonal model forecast performance over Indonesia in predicting the dry conditions in 2015 that led to severe fire, in comparison to the non-El Niño dry season conditions of 2016. Forecasts of the Drought Code (DC) component of Indonesia's Fire Danger Rating System were examined across the entire Equatorial Asia region and for the primary burning regions within it. Our results show that early warning lead times of high observed DC in September and October 2015 varied considerably for different regions.

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