Principles of predicting plant virus disease epidemics.

Predicting epidemics of plant virus disease constitutes a challenging undertaking due to the complexity of the three-cornered pathosystems (virus, vector, and host) involved and their interactions with the environment. A complicated nomenclature is used to describe virus epidemiological models. This review explains how the nomenclature evolved and provides a historical account of the development of such models.

Forecasting aphid outbreaks and epidemics of Cucumber mosaic virus in lupin crops in a Mediterranean-type environment.

Cucumber mosaic virus (CMV) causes a serious disease of narrow-leafed lupin (Lupinus angustifolius). It is seed-borne in lupin and seed-infected plants act as the primary virus source for secondary spread by aphid vectors within crops. Infection with CMV causes yield losses of up to 60% in epidemic years, but has little impact on yield in years when spread is limited.