Prediction of consumers refill frequency of LPG: A study using explainable machine learning.

Launched in 2016, the PMUY Programme of the Government of India aimed to provide 8 crore LPG connections to women in rural households over four years. After acquiring a new connection, some households appeared uninterested in ordering subsequent subsidized LPG refills, impacting programme's sustainability, and targeting strategy. We propose a prediction model using "Explainable Machine Learning" to anticipate the beneficiaries' refill frequency with a view to improving LPG-refills and social targeting.