Simulation to optimize the laboratory diagnosis of bacteremia.

Unlabelled: Blood cultures are central to the management of patients with sepsis and bloodstream infection. Clinical decisions depend on the timely availability of laboratory information, which, in turn, depends on the optimal laboratory processing of specimens. Discrete event simulation (DES) offers insights into where optimization efforts can be targeted.

Bayesian Calibration to Address the Challenge of Antimicrobial Resistance: A Review.

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) emerges when disease-causing microorganisms develop the ability to withstand the effects of antimicrobial therapy. This phenomenon is often fueled by the human-to-human transmission of pathogens and the overuse of antibiotics. Over the past 50 years, increased computational power has facilitated the application of Bayesian inference algorithms.

Refining epidemiological forecasts with simple scoring rules.

Estimates from infectious disease models have constituted a significant part of the scientific evidence used to inform the response to the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK. These estimates can vary strikingly in their bias and variability. Epidemiological forecasts should be consistent with the observations that eventually materialize.