A note on potential gains in precision of radiation risk estimates from joint analysis.

In estimating radiation-related risk of cancer and other diseases based on the RERF Life Span Study (LSS), joint analyses can be performed where multiple health outcome endpoints are combined in the same model, allowing some parameters to be estimated in common among all endpoints with possible increase in precision of radiation risk and other model parameter estimates. Using as a basis excess relative risk (ERR) and excess absolute risk (EAR) models of the type commonly used in analysis of LSS data at RERF, we use maximum likelihood theory to compute the asymptotic relative standard error of endpoint-specific radiation effect and other parameter estimates using joint analyses as compared to traditional independent analysis. We show that some gains in precision of endpoint-specific radiation risk parameter estimates can be achieved by sharing effect modifier and other model parameters, but only small or negligible gains in precision are achieved for endpoint-specific background modifying or effect modifying parameters when other model parameters are shared.

Reliability, stability during long-term storage, and intra-individual variation of circulating levels of osteopontin, osteoprotegerin, vascular endothelial growth factor-A, and interleukin-17A.

Background: Studies in many populations have reported associations between circulating cytokine levels and various physiological or pathological conditions. However, the reliability of cytokine measurements in population studies, which measure cytokines in multiple assays over a prolonged period, has not been adequately examined; nor has stability during sample storage or intra-individual variation been assessed.

Methods: We assessed (1) analytical reliability in short- and long-term repeated measurements; (2) stability and analytical reliability during long-term sample storage, and (3) variability within individuals over seasons, of four cytokines-osteopontin (OPN), osteoprotegerin (OPG), vascular endothelial growth factor-A (VEGF-A), and interleukin-17A (IL-17A).

Candidate biomarkers and persistent transcriptional responses after low and high dose ionizing radiation at high dose rate.

Purpose: Development of an integrated time and dose model to explore the dynamics of gene expression alterations and identify biomarkers for biodosimetry following low- and high-dose irradiations at high dose rate.

Material And Methods: We utilized multiple transcriptome datasets (GSE8917, GSE43151, and GSE23515) from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) for identifying candidate biological dosimeters. A linear mixed-effects model with random intercept was used to explore the dose-time dynamics of transcriptional responses and to functionally characterize the time- and dose-dependent changes in gene expression.

Age effects on radiation response: summary of a recent symposium and future perspectives.

One of the principal uncertainties when estimating population risk of late effects from epidemiological data is that few radiation-exposed cohorts have been followed up to extinction. Therefore, the relative risk model has often been used to estimate radiation-associated risk and to extrapolate risk to the end of life. Epidemiological studies provide evidence that children are generally at higher risk of cancer induction than adults for a given radiation dose.

Comparison of All Solid Cancer Mortality and Incidence Dose-Response in the Life Span Study of Atomic Bomb Survivors, 1958-2009.

Recent analysis of all solid cancer incidence (1958-2009) in the Life Span Study (LSS) revealed evidence of upward curvature in the radiation dose response among males but not females. Upward curvature in sex-averaged excess relative risk (ERR) for all solid cancer mortality (1950-2003) was also observed in the 0-2 Gy dose range. As reasons for non-linearity in the LSS are not completely understood, we conducted dose-response analyses for all solid cancer mortality and incidence applying similar methods [1958-2009 follow-up, DS02R1 doses, including subjects not-in-city (NIC) at the time of the bombing] and statistical models.

Chromosome aberrations among atomic-bomb survivors exposed in utero: updated analysis accounting for revised radiation doses and smoking.

A previous study of peripheral blood lymphocyte translocations around age 40 among atomic-bomb survivors exposed in utero revealed no overall association with radiation dose-despite a clear association between translocations and dose among their mothers-but the data suggested an increase at doses below 100 mGy with a definite peak. That analysis of the in utero-exposed survivors did not adjust for their subsequent smoking behavior, an established cause of chromosomal aberrations, or their subsequent exposures to medical irradiation, a potential mediator. In addition, atomic-bomb survivor radiation dose estimates have subsequently been updated and refined.

Radiation effects on atherosclerosis in atomic bomb survivors: a cross-sectional study using structural equation modeling.

Past reports indicated that total-body irradiation at low to moderate doses could be responsible for cardiovascular disease risks, but the mechanism remains unclear. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between radiation exposure and atherosclerosis, an underlying pathology of cardiovascular diseases, in the Japanese atomic bomb survivors. We performed a cross-sectional study measuring 14 clinical-physiological atherosclerosis indicators during clinical exams from 2010 to 2014 in 3274 participants of the Adult Health Study cohort.

Radiation Risk of Ovarian Cancer in Atomic Bomb Survivors: 1958-2009.

There is limited evidence concerning the association between radiation exposure and ovarian cancer. We evaluated radiation risk of ovarian cancer between 1958 and 2009 among 62,534 female atomic bomb survivors in the Life Span Study cohort, adding 11 years of follow-up from the previously reported study. Poisson regression methods were used to estimate excess relative risk per Gy (ERR/Gy) for total ovarian cancer and according to tumor type.

Misclassification of primary liver cancer in the Life Span Study of atomic bomb survivors.

Primary liver cancer is difficult to diagnose accurately at death, due to metastases from nearby organs and to concomitant diseases, such as chronic hepatitis and cirrhosis. Trends in diagnostic accuracy could affect radiation risk estimates for incident liver cancer by altering background rates or by impacting risk modification by sex and age. We quantified the potential impact of death-certificate inaccuracies on radiation risk estimates for liver cancer in the Life Span Study of atomic bomb survivors.

Effect of Heterogeneity in Background Incidence on Inference about the Solid-Cancer Radiation Dose Response in Atomic Bomb Survivors.

A recent analysis of solid cancer incidence in the Life Span Study of atomic bomb survivors (Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Japan) found evidence of a nonlinear, upwardly curving radiation dose response among males but not among females. Further analysis of this new and unexpected finding was necessary. We used two approaches to investigate this finding.

Radiation Risks of Uterine Cancer in Atomic Bomb Survivors: 1958-2009.

Background: Ionizing radiation is known to be capable of causing cancer of many organs, but its relationship with uterine cancer has not been well characterized.

Methods: We studied incidence of uterine cancer during 1958-2009 among 62 534 female atomic bomb survivors. Using Poisson regression analysis, we fitted excess relative risk (ERR) models to uterine cancer rates adjusted for several lifestyle and reproductive factors.

Association of Weight Fluctuation With Mortality in Japanese Adults.

Importance: Weight cycling is associated with the risk of mortality from heart disease, but many studies have not distinguished between simple nonlinear (monotone) weight changes and more complex changes that reflect fluctuations.

Objective: To assess whether extreme body weight variation is associated with mortality after controlling for nonlinear weight changes.

Design, Setting, And Participants: In this prospective clinical cohort study, 4796 Japanese atomic bomb survivors were examined in the clinic as part of a biennial health examination and research program.

Association Between Prevalence of Peripheral Artery Disease and Radiation Exposure in the Atomic Bomb Survivors.

Background Past reports suggested that total-body irradiation at 0.5 to 1.0 Gy could be responsible for atherosclerosis.

Effects of Omitting Non-confounding Predictors From General Relative-Risk Models for Binary Outcomes.

Background: The effects, in terms of bias and precision, of omitting non-confounding predictive covariates from generalized linear models have been well studied, and it is known that such omission results in attenuation bias but increased precision with logistic regression. However, many epidemiologic risk analyses utilize alternative models that are not based on a linear predictor, and the effect of omitting non-confounding predictive covariates from such models has not been characterized.

Methods: We employed simulation to study the effects on risk estimation of omitting non-confounding predictive covariates from an excess relative risk (ERR) model and a general additive-multiplicative relative-risk mixture model for binary outcome data in a case-control setting.

Population Density in Hiroshima and Nagasaki Before the Bombings in 1945: Its Measurement and Impact on Radiation Risk Estimates in the Life Span Study of Atomic Bomb Survivors.

In the Life Span Study cohort of atomic bomb survivors, differences in urbanicity between high-dose and low-dose survivors could confound the association between radiation dose and adverse outcomes. We obtained data on the population distribution in Hiroshima and Nagasaki before the 1945 bombings and quantified the impact of adjustment for population density on radiation risk estimates for mortality (1950-2003) and incident solid cancer (1958-2009). Population density ranged from 4,671 to 14,378 people/km2 in the urban region of Hiroshima and 5,748 to 19,149 people/km2 in the urban region of Nagasaki.

Bioavailable serum estradiol may alter radiation risk of postmenopausal breast cancer: a nested case-control study.

Purpose: Ionizing radiation and high levels of circulating estradiol are known breast cancer carcinogens. We investigated the risk of first primary postmenopausal breast cancer in relation to the combined effects of whole-body ionizing radiation exposure and prediagnostic levels of postmenopausal sex hormones, particularly bioavailable estradiol (bE).

Materials And Methods: A nested case-control study of 57 incident breast cancer cases matched with 110 controls among atomic bomb survivors.

Selection of reference groups in the Life Span Study of atomic bomb survivors.

In cohort studies, unbiased estimation of exposure-outcome associations requires selection of an appropriate reference group of unexposed individuals. We illustrate strategies for analyzing cohort data with multiple potential reference groups. We analyzed the association between radiation exposure and incidence of first primary solid cancer among 105,444 participants of the Life Span Study (Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Japan, 1958-2009).

Effect of follow-up period on minimal-significant dose in the atomic-bomb survivor studies.

It was recently suggested that earlier reports on solid-cancer mortality and incidence in the Life Span Study of atomic-bomb survivors contain still-useful information about low-dose risk that should not be ignored, because longer follow-up may lead to attenuated estimates of low-dose risk due to longer time since exposure. Here it is demonstrated, through the use of all follow-up data and risk models stratified on period of follow-up (as opposed to sub-setting the data by follow-up period), that the appearance of risk attenuation over time may be the result of less-precise risk estimation-in particular, imprecise estimation of effect-modification parameters-in the earlier periods. Longer follow-up, in addition to allowing more-precise estimation of risk due to larger numbers of radiation-related cases, provides more-precise adjustment for background mortality or incidence and more-accurate assessment of risk modification by age at exposure and attained age.

Aging-related changes in human T-cell repertoire over 20years delineated by deep sequencing of peripheral T-cell receptors.

Recent deep sequencing studies on T-cell receptor (TCR) repertoire have provided robust data to characterize diversity of T-cell immune responsiveness to a wide variety of peptide antigens, including viral and tumor antigens. The human TCR repertoire declines with age, but this decline has not been fully investigated longitudinally in individuals. Using a deep sequencing approach, we analyzed TCRβ repertoires longitudinally over approximately 20years, with ages ranging from 23 to 50years at the start (23 to 65years overall), in peripheral-blood CD4 and CD8 T-cell populations that were collected and cryopreserved 3 times at intervals of approximately 10years from each of 6 healthy adults (3 men and 3 women).

Heart Disease Mortality in the Life Span Study, 1950-2008.

Based on the findings from the Radiation Effects Research Foundation's studies of the cohort of Japanese atomic bomb survivors, it has been reported that total-body irradiation at 0.5-1.0 Gy could be responsible for increased rates of mortality from broad-based categories of cardiovascular disease (CVD), i.