Data for modelling US projections of product approvals, patients treated, and product revenues for durable cell and gene therapies.

The recent marketing approval of several durable gene and cell therapies (2017-2020), together with observations that 7,000 monogenic indications and many cancers were potential targets, led to concern about the potential economic impact of such therapies on the US healthcare system. Using a Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation model, driven stochastically by our estimates of the time in phase of clinical trials and each clinical trial phase probability of success, we forecast the pattern of future US regulatory approvals for such therapies currently undergoing clinical trials. Using parameters of those trials, such as inclusion and exclusion criteria, and other epidemiological data we estimate potential treatable patient populations and use these together with pricing estimates to forecast a range for the potential future list price product revenues associated with these therapies.

Durable cell and gene therapy potential patient and financial impact: US projections of product approvals, patients treated, and product revenues.

Durable cell and gene therapies potentially transform patient lives, but payers fear unsustainable costs arising from the more than 1000 therapies in the development pipeline. A novel multi-module Markov chain Monte Carlo-based model projects product-indication approvals, treated patients, and product revenues. We estimate a mean 63.

Tracking the CAR-T Revolution: Analysis of Clinical Trials of CAR-T and TCR-T Therapies for the Treatment of Cancer (1997-2020).

Chimeric antigen receptor and T-cell receptor (CAR-T/TCR-T) cellular immunotherapies have shown remarkable success in the treatment of some refractory B-cell malignancies, with potential to provide durable clinical response for other types of cancer. In this paper, we look at all available FDA CAR-T/TCR-T clinical trials for the treatment of cancer, and analyze them with respect to different disease tissues, targeted antigens, products, and originator locations. We found that 627 of 1007 registered are currently active and of those 273 (44%) originated in China and 280 (45%) in the US.

Cost-effectiveness of a hypothetical cell or gene therapy cure for sickle cell disease.

Sickle cell disease (SCD) is a group of inherited genetic conditions associated with lifelong complications and increased healthcare resource utilization. Standard treatment for SCD in the US varies based on stage of the disease and observed clinical severity. In this study, we aim to evaluate the potential cost-effectiveness of a durable cell or gene therapy cure for sickle cell disease from the US healthcare sector perspective.