Modelling NHS England 111 demand for primary care services: a discrete event simulation.

Objectives: This feasibility study aimed to model in silico the current healthcare system for patients triaged to a primary care disposition following a call to National Health Service (NHS) 111 and determine the effect of reconfiguring the healthcare system to ensure a timely primary care service contact.

Design: Discrete event simulation.

Setting: Single English NHS 111 call centre in Yorkshire.

Multicentre, prospective observational study of the correlation between the Glasgow Admission Prediction Score and adverse outcomes.

Objectives: To assess whether the Glasgow Admission Prediction Score (GAPS) is correlated with hospital length of stay, 6-month hospital readmission and 6-month all-cause mortality. This study represents a 6-month follow-up of patients who were included in an external validation of the GAPS' ability to predict admission at the point of triage.

Setting: Sampling was conducted between February and May 2016 at two separate emergency departments (EDs) in Sheffield and Glasgow.

Comparison of Glasgow Admission Prediction Score and Amb Score in predicting need for inpatient care.

Aim: We compared the abilities of two established clinical scores to predict emergency department (ED) disposition: the Glasgow Admission Prediction Score (GAPS) and the Ambulatory Score (Ambs).

Methods: The scores were compared in a prospective, multicentre cohort study. We recruited consecutive patients attending ED triage at two UK sites: Northern General Hospital in Sheffield and Glasgow Royal Infirmary, between February and May 2016.