Methane degassing in global river reservoirs and its impacts on carbon budgets and sustainable water management.

Degassing methane (CH) through reservoir water compromises hydroelectricity's presumed low-carbon status, which has emerged as a critical hotspot for global carbon dynamics. However, a comprehensive understanding of the involved pathways remains elusive, hindering the accurate estimation of global reservoirs' carbon budget (emission-to-burial ratio). This study presents a holistic upscaling approach to assess methane degassing in global river reservoirs and its impacts on carbon budgets.

Dissecting the characteristics and driver factors of potential vegetation water use efficiency in China.

While large-scale vegetation greening in China has substantially influenced global vegetation dynamics, the specific impact of this restoration on water use efficiency (WUE) remained inadequately understood. This study employed both the Geodetector and structural equation modeling (SEM) methods, utilizing the Lund-Potsdam-Jena (LPJ) Global Dynamic Vegetation Model, to explore the contributions of various driving factors to China's potential vegetation WUE from 1982 to 2019. The results indicated: (1) there existed considerable further potential for vegetation recovery nationwide.

Unlocking synergies of drawdown operation: Multi-objective optimization of reservoir emergency storage capacity.

Optimizing reservoir drawdown operations holds significant implications for hydropower generation, water supply, and drought mitigation strategies. However, achieving multi-objective optimization in reservoir drawdown operations poses fundamental challenges, particularly considering emergency storage capacity and seasonal drought patterns. This study introduces a novel multi-objective optimization framework tailored for a mega reservoir, focusing on drawdown operations to enhance hydropower generation and water supply reliability.

Trigger thresholds and their dynamics of vegetation production loss under different atmospheric and soil drought conditions.

Many evidences have shown that both atmospheric and soil droughts can constrain vegetation growth and further threaten its ability to sequester carbon. However, the trigger thresholds of vegetation production loss under different atmospheric and soil drought conditions are still unknown. In this study, we proposed a Copula and Bayesian equations-based framework to investigate trigger thresholds of various vegetation production losses under different atmospheric and soil drought conditions.

A Review on the Video-Based River Discharge Measurement Technique.

The hydrological monitoring of flow data is important for flood prevention and modern river management. However, traditional contact methods are increasingly struggling to meet the requirements of simplicity, accuracy, and continuity. The video-based river discharge measurement is a technique to monitor flow velocity without contacting the water body by using the image-recognition algorithms, which has been verified to have the advantages of full coverage and full automation compared with the traditional contact technique.

Increasing sensitivity of dryland water use efficiency to soil water content due to rising atmospheric CO.

Examining the intricate interplay between ecosystem carbon-water coupling and soil moisture sensitivity serves as a crucial approach to effectively assess the dilemma arising from escalating global carbon emissions and concomitant water scarcity. Using the Lund-Potsdam-Jena Dynamic Global Vegetation Model (LPJ), this study investigated the potential effects of climate change and soil water content (SWC) on terrestrial ecosystem water use efficiency (WUE) across China from 1982 to 2060. The results revealed that: (1) WUE was higher in South China and Northeast China, but lower in Northwest China and it had shown a significant upward trend in the past 40 years, especially in Northwest China where grasslands were widely distributed.

Compound events of wet and dry extremes: Identification, variations, and risky patterns.

Compound hydrometeorological extremes have been widely examined under climate change, they have significant impacts on ecological and societal well-being. This study sheds light on a new category compound of contrasting extremes, namely compounding wet and dry extremes (CWDEs). The CWDEs are characterized as devastating dry events (EDs) accompanied by wet extremes (EWs) in a given time window.

Evaluation of flash drought under the impact of heat wave events in southwestern Germany.

Flash droughts are a recently recognised type of extreme drought defined by the rapid onset and strong intensification of drought conditions. Our understanding of flash drought processes under the influence of heat waves needs to be improved in the context of global warming. Here, we applied a physically based hydrological model, i.

Control of climate and physiography on runoff response behavior through use of catchment classification and machine learning.

Understanding of runoff response changes (RRC) is essential for water resource management decisions. However, there is a limited understanding of the effects of climate and landscape properties on RRC behavior. This study explored RRC behavior across controls and predictability in 1003 catchments in the contiguous United States (CONUS) using catchment classification and machine learning.

A novel framework for investigating the mechanisms of climate change and anthropogenic activities on the evolution of hydrological drought.

Climate change and anthropogenic activity are the primary drivers of water cycle changes. Hydrological droughts are caused by a shortage of surface and/or groundwater resources caused by climate change and/or anthropogenic activity. Existing hydrological models have primarily focused on simulating natural water cycle processes, while limited research has investigated the influence of anthropogenic activities on water cycle processes.

Exploring a multi-output temporal convolutional network driven encoder-decoder framework for ammonia nitrogen forecasting.

Artificial neural networks exhibit significant advantages in terms of learning capability and generalizability, and have been increasingly applied in water quality prediction. Through learning a compressed representation of the input data, the Encoder-Decoder (ED) structure not only could remove noise and redundancies, but also could efficiently capture the complex nonlinear relationships of meteorological and water quality factors. The novelty of this study lies in proposing a multi-output Temporal Convolutional Network based ED model (TCN-ED) to make ammonia nitrogen forecasts for the first time.

Exploring a similarity search-based data-driven framework for multi-step-ahead flood forecasting.

Due to a small proportion of observations, reliable and accurate flood forecasts for large floods present a fundamental challenge to artificial neural network models, especially when the forecast horizons exceed the flood concentration time of a river basin. This study proposed for the first time a Similarity search-based data-driven framework, and takes the advanced Temporal Convolutional Network based Encoder-Decoder model (S-TCNED) as an example for multi-step-ahead flood forecasting. A total of 5232 hourly hydrological data were divided into two datasets for model training and testing.

A novel framework to improve the consistency of water quality attribution from natural and anthropogenic factors.

One critical question for water security and sustainable development is how water quality responses to the changes in natural factors and human activities, especially in light of the expected exacerbation in water scarcity. Although machine learning models have shown noticeable advances in water quality attribution analysis, they have limited interpretability in explaining the feature importance with theoretical guarantees of consistency. To fill this gap, this study built a modelling framework that employed the inverse distance weighting method and the extreme gradient boosting model to simulate the water quality at grid scale, and adapted the Shapley additive explanation to interpret the contributions of the drivers to water quality over the Yangtze River basin.

Oceanic climate changes threaten the sustainability of Asia's water tower.

Water resources sustainability in High Mountain Asia (HMA) surrounding the Tibetan Plateau (TP)-known as Asia's water tower-has triggered widespread concerns because HMA protects millions of people against water stress. However, the mechanisms behind the heterogeneous trends observed in terrestrial water storage (TWS) over the TP remain poorly understood. Here we use a Lagrangian particle dispersion model and satellite observations to attribute about 1 Gt of monthly TWS decline in the southern TP during 2003-2016 to westerlies-carried deficit in precipitation minus evaporation (PME) from the southeast North Atlantic.

Deep learning-based neural networks for day-ahead power load probability density forecasting.

Energy efficiency is crucial to greenhouse gas (GHG) emission pathways reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Electrical overload frequently occurs and causes unwanted outages in distribution networks, which reduces energy utilization efficiency and raises environmental risks endangering public safety. Electrical load, however, has a dynamically fluctuating behavior with notoriously nonlinear hourly, daily, and seasonal patterns.

Drying in the low-latitude Atlantic Ocean contributed to terrestrial water storage depletion across Eurasia.

Eurasia, home to ~70% of global population, is characterized by (semi-)arid climate. Water scarcity in the mid-latitude Eurasia (MLE) has been exacerbated by a consistent decline in terrestrial water storage (TWS), attributed primarily to human activities. However, the atmospheric mechanisms behind such TWS decline remain unclear.

Droughts across China: Drought factors, prediction and impacts.

Drought is a complicated and costly natural hazard and identification of critical drought factors is critical for modeling and forecasting of droughts and hence development of drought mitigation measures (the Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index) in both space and time. Here we quantified relationships between drought and 23 drought factors using remote sensing data during the period of 2002-2016. Based on the Gradient Boosting Algorithm (GBM), we found that precipitation and soil moisture had relatively large contributions to droughts.

Assessing the snow cover dynamics and its relationship with different hydro-climatic characteristics in Upper Ganges river basin and its sub-basins.

Snowmelt is an important source of water in upstream part of the Ganges river basin (GRB), which provides water for different purposes to its 655 million inhabitants. However, studies assessing relationship between snow cover dynamics and changes in hydro-climatic variables are limited within this region, motivating the current research. In this study, MODIS snow cover product (MOD10A1) was used to assess the snow cover area (SCA) dynamics within the Upper Ganges river basin (UGRB) and its sub-basins for the time period of 2002-2014; available climate and hydrological data were used to assess the hydrological characteristics within three selected sub-basins in Nepal; and relationships between snow cover and different hydro-climatic variables are established for three sub-basins owing to availability of hydro-climatic data.

Impacts and socioeconomic exposures of global extreme precipitation events in 1.5 and 2.0 °C warmer climates.

The rise of global mean temperature has aroused wide attention in scientific communities. To reduce the negative climate change impact, the United Union's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) set a goal to limit global warming to 1.5 °C relative to pre-industrial levels based on the previous 2.

Multivariate framework for the assessment of key forcing to Lake Malawi level variations in non-stationary frequency analysis.

Lake Malawi in south eastern Africa is a very important freshwater system for the socio-economic development of the riparian countries and communities. The lake has however experienced considerable recession in the levels in recent years. Consequently, frequency analyses of the lake levels premised on time-invariance (or stationarity) in the parameters of the underlying probability distribution functions (pdfs) can no longer be assumed.

A new statistical downscaling approach for global evaluation of the CMIP5 precipitation outputs: Model development and application.

Outputs of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) models have been widely used in studies of climate changes related to scenarios at global and regional scales. However, CMIP5 outputs cannot be used directly in analysis of climate changes due to coarse spatial resolution. Here, we proposed a new statistical downscaling method for the downscaling practice of the CMIP5 outputs, i.

Modified Palmer Drought Severity Index: Model improvement and application.

Monitoring of droughts is the first step into human adaptation and related management of drought hazards. Therefore, drought index is critical in drought monitoring practice. However, the standing drought indices include no information about agricultural irrigation.

The contribution of internal climate variability to climate change impacts on droughts.

The assessment of climate change impacts is usually done by calculating the change in drought conditions between future and historical periods by using multiple climate model simulations. However, this approach usually focuses on anthropogenic climate changes (ACCs) while ignoring the internal climate variability (ICV) caused by the chaotic nature of the climate system. Recent studies have shown that ICV plays an important role in the projected future climate change.

Reconstruction of high spatial resolution surface air temperature data across China: A new geo-intelligent multisource data-based machine learning technique.

Good knowledge of the surface air temperature (SAT) is critical for scientific understanding of ecological environment changes and land-atmosphere thermodynamic interactions. However, sparse and uneven spatial distribution of the temperature gauging stations introduces remarkable uncertainties into analysis of the SAT pattern. From a geo-intelligent perspective, here we proposed a new SAT reconstruction method based on the multisource data and machine learning technique which was developed by considering autocorrelation of the in situ observed SAT in both space and time, or simply STAML, i.