Comparison of Two Modern Survival Prediction Tools, SORG-MLA and METSSS, in Patients With Symptomatic Long-bone Metastases Who Underwent Local Treatment With Surgery Followed by Radiotherapy and With Radiotherapy Alone.

Background: Survival estimation for patients with symptomatic skeletal metastases ideally should be made before a type of local treatment has already been determined. Currently available survival prediction tools, however, were generated using data from patients treated either operatively or with local radiation alone, raising concerns about whether they would generalize well to all patients presenting for assessment. The Skeletal Oncology Research Group machine-learning algorithm (SORG-MLA), trained with institution-based data of surgically treated patients, and the Metastases location, Elderly, Tumor primary, Sex, Sickness/comorbidity, and Site of radiotherapy model (METSSS), trained with registry-based data of patients treated with radiotherapy alone, are two of the most recently developed survival prediction models, but they have not been tested on patients whose local treatment strategy is not yet decided.

Psoas muscle area is an independent survival prognosticator in patients undergoing surgery for long-bone metastases.

Background: Predictive analytics is gaining popularity as an aid to treatment planning for patients with bone metastases, whose expected survival should be considered. Decreased psoas muscle area (PMA), a morphometric indicator of suboptimal nutritional status, has been associated with mortality in various cancers, but never been integrated into current survival prediction algorithms (SPA) for patients with skeletal metastases. This study investigates whether decreased PMA predicts worse survival in patients with extremity metastases and whether incorporating PMA into three modern SPAs (PATHFx, SORG-NG, and SORG-MLA) improves their performance.

A Machine Learning Algorithm for Predicting 6-Week Survival in Spinal Metastasis: An External Validation Study Using 2,768 Taiwanese Patients.

Introduction: There are predictive algorithms for predicting 3-month and 1-year survival in patients with spinal metastasis. However, advance in surgical technique, immunotherapy, and advanced radiation therapy has enabled shortening of postoperative recovery, which returns dividends to the overall quality-adjusted life-year. As such, the Skeletal Oncology Research Group machine learning algorithm (SORG-MLA) was proposed to predict 6-week survival in patients with spinal metastasis, whereas its utility for patients treated with nonsurgical treatment was untested externally.