A stronger role for long-term moisture change than for CO in determining tropical woody vegetation change.

Anthropogenically elevated CO (eCO) concentrations have been suggested to increase woody cover within tropical ecosystems through fertilization. The effect of eCO is built into Earth system models, although testing the relationship over long periods remains challenging. Here, we explore the relative importance of six drivers of vegetation change in western Africa over the past ~500,000 years (moisture availability, fire activity, mammalian herbivore density, temperature, temperature seasonality, CO) by coupling past environmental change data from Lake Bosumtwi (Ghana) with global data.

Astronomical age constraints and extinction mechanisms of the Late Triassic Carnian crisis.

The geological record contains evidence for numerous pronounced perturbations in the global carbon cycle, some of which are associated with mass extinction. In the Carnian (Late Triassic), evidence from sedimentology and fossil pollen points to a significant change in climate, resulting in biotic turnover, during a time termed the 'Carnian Pluvial Episode' (CPE). Evidence from the marine realm suggests a causal relationship between the CPE, a global 'wet' period, and the injection of light carbon into the atmosphere.

Pollen and spores as biological recorders of past ultraviolet irradiance.

Solar ultraviolet (UV) irradiance is a key driver of climatic and biotic change. Ultraviolet irradiance modulates stratospheric warming and ozone production, and influences the biosphere from ecosystem-level processes through to the largest scale patterns of diversification and extinction. Yet our understanding of ultraviolet irradiance is limited because no method has been validated to reconstruct its flux over timescales relevant to climatic or biotic processes.

CO2 and fire influence tropical ecosystem stability in response to climate change.

Interactions between climate, fire and CO2 are believed to play a crucial role in controlling the distributions of tropical woodlands and savannas, but our understanding of these processes is limited by the paucity of data from undisturbed tropical ecosystems. Here we use a 28,000-year integrated record of vegetation, climate and fire from West Africa to examine the role of these interactions on tropical ecosystem stability. We find that increased aridity between 28-15 kyr B.