Publications by authors named "Caroline Morton"

Understanding the genetic basis of routinely-acquired blood tests can provide insights into several aspects of human physiology. We report a genome-wide association study of 42 quantitative blood test traits defined using Electronic Healthcare Records (EHRs) of ~50,000 British Bangladeshi and British Pakistani adults. We demonstrate a causal variant within the PIEZO1 locus which was associated with alterations in red cell traits and glycated haemoglobin.

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Background: Serious games are risk-free environments training various medical competencies, such as clinical reasoning, without endangering patients' safety. Furthermore, serious games provide a context for training situations with unpredictable outcomes. Training these competencies is particularly important for healthcare professionals in emergency medicine.

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Purpose: There is increasing recognition of the importance of transparency and reproducibility in scientific research. This study aimed to quantify the extent to which programming code is publicly shared in pharmacoepidemiology, and to develop a set of recommendations on this topic.

Methods: We conducted a literature review identifying all studies published in Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety (PDS) between 2017 and 2022.

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Article Synopsis
  • The COVID-19 pandemic negatively impacted cardiovascular disease management in England, particularly affecting blood pressure screening and hypertension management.
  • A study analyzed data from 25.2 million NHS patients, showing a decline in blood pressure screening from 90% in March 2019 to 85% in March 2023, while hypertension prevalence remained stable at about 15%.
  • Treatment percentages for hypertension also dropped significantly during the pandemic, with patients aged ≤79 years treated to target falling from 71% to 47% and those aged ≥80 years from 85% to 58% before showing signs of recovery.
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Background: Some studies have shown that the incidence of type 2 diabetes increases after a diagnosis of COVID-19, although the evidence is not conclusive. However, the effects of the COVID-19 vaccine on this association, or the effect on other diabetes subtypes, are not clear. We aimed to investigate the association between COVID-19 and incidence of type 2, type 1, gestational and non-specific diabetes, and the effect of COVID- 19 vaccination, up to 52 weeks after diagnosis.

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Article Synopsis
  • Obesity and rapid weight gain are linked to severe disease from COVID-19, with societal changes during the pandemic affecting health behaviors like nutrition and exercise, contributing to weight gain.
  • A study analyzed healthcare records of over 17 million adults in England to assess weight gain before and during the pandemic, classifying individuals based on their rates of weight change and identifying those with significant increases.
  • Using logistic regression, researchers examined various factors (age, sex, deprivation level, ethnicity) associated with rapid weight gain and the acceleration of weight gain during COVID-19.
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Article Synopsis
  • Electronic health records (EHRs) are essential for researching medical products and informing public health, but reproducibility in EHR research is a significant challenge.
  • OpenSAFELY is an open-source software platform created during the COVID-19 pandemic to improve the reproducibility of research using EHRs by standardizing workflows and ensuring consistent computational environments.
  • The platform promotes transparency by enforcing code-sharing, providing an audit trail for data usage, and integrating tools that support reproducible research practices.
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Objective: To validate primary and secondary care codes in electronic health records to identify people receiving chronic kidney replacement therapy based on gold standard registry data.

Design: Validation study using data from OpenSAFELY and the UK Renal Registry, with the approval of NHS England.

Setting: Primary and secondary care electronic health records from people registered at 45% of general practices in England on 1 January 2020, linked to data from the UK Renal Registry (UKRR) within the OpenSAFELY-TPP platform, part of the NHS England OpenSAFELY covid-19 service.

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Background: Evidence demonstrates that individuals with atopic eczema (eczema) have increased depression and anxiety; however, the role of ethnicity in these associations is poorly understood. We aimed to investigate whether associations between eczema and depression or anxiety differed between adults from white and minority ethnic groups in the UK.

Methods: We used UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD to conduct matched cohort studies of adults (≥18 years) with ethnicity recorded in primary care electronic health records (April 2006-January 2020).

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Infection with SARS-CoV-2 is associated with an increased risk of arterial and venous thrombotic events, but the implications of vaccination for this increased risk are uncertain. With the approval of NHS England, we quantified associations between COVID-19 diagnosis and cardiovascular diseases in different vaccination and variant eras using linked electronic health records for ~40% of the English population. We defined a 'pre-vaccination' cohort (18,210,937 people) in the wild-type/Alpha variant eras (January 2020-June 2021), and 'vaccinated' and 'unvaccinated' cohorts (13,572,399 and 3,161,485 people respectively) in the Delta variant era (June-December 2021).

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Background: COVID-19 pandemic restrictions may have influenced behaviours related to weight.

Aim: To describe patterns of weight change among adults living in England with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and/or hypertension during the pandemic.

Design And Setting: An observational cohort study using the routinely collected health data of approximately 40% of adults living in England, accessed through the OpenSAFELY service inside TPP.

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Background: The COVID-19 pandemic affected how care was delivered to vulnerable patients, such as those with dementia or learning disability.

Objective: To explore whether this affected antipsychotic prescribing in at-risk populations.

Methods: With the approval of NHS England, we completed a retrospective cohort study, using the OpenSAFELY platform to explore primary care data of 59 million patients.

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Article Synopsis
  • - The COVID-19 pandemic significantly disrupted NHS primary care services, leading to the creation of the OpenSAFELY Service Restoration Observatory (SRO) to track clinical activity trends throughout this period.
  • - An open-source data management framework was developed to analyze electronic health records from 48 million adults, focusing on key measures like blood pressure monitoring and asthma reviews from January 2019 to December 2021.
  • - While most clinical activities showed signs of recovery by April 2021, some measures like medication and blood pressure reviews continued to experience notable reductions, indicating lasting impacts from the pandemic.
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The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination programme in England was extended to include all adolescents and children by April 2022. The aim of this paper is to describe trends and variation in vaccine coverage in different clinical and demographic groups amongst adolescents and children in England by August 2022. With the approval of NHS England, a cohort study was conducted of 3.

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Objective: To implement complex, PINCER (pharmacist led information technology intervention) prescribing indicators, on a national scale with general practice data to describe the impact of the covid-19 pandemic on safe prescribing.

Design: Population based, retrospective cohort study using federated analytics.

Setting: Electronic general practice health record data from 56.

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The COVID-19 vaccines were developed and rigorously evaluated in randomized trials during 2020. However, important questions, such as the magnitude and duration of protection, their effectiveness against new virus variants, and the effectiveness of booster vaccination, could not be answered by randomized trials and have therefore been addressed in observational studies. Analyses of observational data can be biased because of confounding and because of inadequate design that does not consider the evolution of the pandemic over time and the rapid uptake of vaccination.

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Article Synopsis
  • The study investigated how different demographic and clinical groups experienced varying mortality risks related to COVID-19 across five pandemic waves in England, using data from the OpenSAFELY platform.
  • A total of nearly 19 million adults were analyzed across each wave, with significant trends showing a decrease in crude COVID-19-related death rates from the first wave to the fifth.
  • The highest standardized death rates were found among older adults and those with certain health conditions, such as advanced kidney disease or dementia, especially in the first wave of the pandemic.
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Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted healthcare activity across a broad range of clinical services. The NHS stopped non-urgent work in March 2020, later recommending services be restored to near-normal levels before winter where possible.

Aim: To describe changes in the volume and variation of coded clinical activity in general practice across six clinical areas: cardiovascular disease, diabetes, mental health, female and reproductive health, screening and related procedures, and processes related to medication.

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Article Synopsis
  • The study aimed to determine patient eligibility and describe the coverage of antiviral drugs and neutralising monoclonal antibodies (nMAB) as treatments for COVID-19 in community settings in England.
  • A retrospective analysis was conducted on data from 23.4 million people, focusing on outpatients with COVID-19 who were at high risk for severe outcomes between December 2021 and April 2022.
  • Out of 93,870 high-risk patients identified, only 19,040 (20%) received treatment, with variations in treatment rates based on factors like age, ethnic background, risk group, and NHS region.
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Objective: To compare the effectiveness of sotrovimab (a neutralising monoclonal antibody) with molnupiravir (an antiviral) in preventing severe outcomes of covid-19 in adult patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 in the community and at high risk of severe outcomes from covid-19.

Design: Observational cohort study with the OpenSAFELY platform.

Setting: With the approval of NHS England, a real world cohort study was conducted with the OpenSAFELY-TPP platform (a secure, transparent, open source software platform for analysis of NHS electronic health records), and patient level electronic health record data were obtained from 24 million people registered with a general practice in England that uses TPP software.

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Making study materials available allows for a more comprehensive understanding of the scientific literature. Sharing can take many forms and include a wide variety of outputs including code and data. Biomedical research can benefit from increased transparency but faces unique challenges for sharing, for instance, confidentiality concerns around participants' medical data.

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Objectives: The six-minute walk test (6MWT) is a commonly used measure of functional capacity. This study is the first to investigate the test-retest reliability, minimal detectable difference (MDD) and the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) for people attending a persistent pain service. Relationships between change in 6MWT performance and change in self-reported physical, functional and psychological outcome measures were also explored.

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BackgroundPriority patients in England were offered COVID-19 vaccination by mid-April 2021. Codes in clinical record systems can denote the vaccine being declined.AimWe describe records of COVID-19 vaccines being declined, according to clinical and demographic factors.

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Article Synopsis
  • The study aimed to determine how the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines wanes over a six-month period after the second dose, using data from primary care and hospital records.
  • It included a large cohort of adults who had received either the BNT162b2 or ChAdOx1 vaccines and compared their health outcomes to unvaccinated individuals in various age and health vulnerability groups.
  • Results showed that while vaccine effectiveness decreased over time, it remained significantly higher for vaccinated individuals, with more than 80% effectiveness for the BNT162b2 vaccine and 75% for ChAdOx1, even at six months post-vaccination.
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