A Bayesian Approach for Modeling and Forecasting Solar Photovoltaic Power Generation.

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach to estimate the curve of a function f(·) that models the solar power generated at moments per day for days and to forecast the curve for the (n+1)th day by using the history of recorded values. We assume that f(·) is an unknown function and adopt a Bayesian model with a Gaussian-process prior on the vector of values f(t)=f(1),…, f(k). An advantage of this approach is that we may estimate the curves of f(·) and fn+1(·) as "smooth functions" obtained by interpolating between the points generated from a -variate normal distribution with appropriate mean vector and covariance matrix.

On the Nuisance Parameter Elimination Principle in Hypothesis Testing.

The Non-Informative Nuisance Parameter Principle concerns the problem of how inferences about a parameter of interest should be made in the presence of nuisance parameters. The principle is examined in the context of the hypothesis testing problem. We prove that the mixed test obeys the principle for discrete sample spaces.

Adaptive Significance Levels in Tests for Linear Regression Models: The -Value and -Value Cases.

The full Bayesian significance test (FBST) for precise hypotheses is a Bayesian alternative to the traditional significance tests based on -values. The FBST is characterized by the -value as an evidence index in favor of the null hypothesis (). An important practical issue for the implementation of the FBST is to establish how small the evidence against must be in order to decide for its rejection.

Modeling Overdispersed Dengue Data via Poisson Inverse Gaussian Regression Model: A Case Study in the City of Campo Grande, MS, Brazil.

Dengue fever is a tropical disease transmitted mainly by the female mosquito that affects millions of people every year. As there is still no safe and effective vaccine, currently the best way to prevent the disease is to control the proliferation of the transmitting mosquito. Since the proliferation and life cycle of the mosquito depend on environmental variables such as temperature and water availability, among others, statistical models are needed to understand the existing relationships between environmental variables and the recorded number of dengue cases and predict the number of cases for some future time interval.

Piecewise Modeling the Accumulated Daily Growth of COVID-19 Deaths: The Case of the State of São Paulo, Brazil.

The pandemic scenery caused by the new coronavirus, called SARS-CoV-2, increased interest in statistical models capable of projecting the evolution of the number of cases (and associated deaths) due to COVID-19 in countries, states and/or cities. This interest is mainly due to the fact that the projections may help the government agencies in making decisions in relation to procedures of prevention of the disease. Since the growth of the number of cases (and deaths) of COVID-19, in general, has presented a heterogeneous evolution over time, it is important that the modeling procedure is capable of identifying periods with different growth rates and proposing an adequate model for each period.

Are the 50's, the transition decade, in choroid plexus aging?

The choroid plexus (CP) is an important structure for the brain. Besides its major role in the production of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), it conveys signals originating from the brain, and from the circulatory system, shaping brain function in health and in pathology. Previous studies in rodents have revealed altered transcriptome both during aging and in various diseases of the central nervous system, including Alzheimer's disease.

Data Science: Measuring Uncertainties.

With the increase in data processing and storage capacity, a large amount of data is available [...

Initial findings of striatum tripartite model in OCD brain samples based on transcriptome analysis.

Obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD) is a psychiatric disorder characterized by obsessions and/or compulsions. Different striatal subregions belonging to the cortico-striato-thalamic circuitry (CSTC) play an important role in the pathophysiology of OCD. The transcriptomes of 3 separate striatal areas (putamen (PT), caudate nucleus (CN) and accumbens nucleus (NAC)) from postmortem brain tissue were compared between 6 OCD and 8 control cases.

Adaptive treatment strategies for children and adolescents with Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder: A sequential multiple assignment randomized trial.

Objective: This sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) tested the effect of beginning treatment of childhood OCD with fluoxetine (FLX) or group cognitive-behavioral therapy (GCBT) accounting for treatment failures over time.

Methods: A two-stage, 28-week SMART was conducted with 83 children and adolescents with OCD. Participants were randomly allocated to GCBT or FLX for 14 weeks.

Quantifying dimensional severity of obsessive-compulsive disorder for neurobiological research.

Current research to explore genetic susceptibility factors in obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD) has resulted in the tentative identification of a small number of genes. However, findings have not been readily replicated. It is now broadly accepted that a major limitation to this work is the heterogeneous nature of this disorder, and that an approach incorporating OCD symptom dimensions in a quantitative manner may be more successful in identifying both common as well as dimension-specific vulnerability genetic factors.

Dissecting the Yale-Brown Obsessive-Compulsive Scale severity scale to understand the routes for symptomatic improvement in obsessive-compulsive disorder.

We aimed to investigate which items of the Yale-Brown Obsessive-Compulsive Severity Scale best discriminate the reduction in total scores in obsessive-compulsive disorder patients after 4 and 12 weeks of pharmacological treatment. Data from 112 obsessive-compulsive disorder patients who received fluoxetine (⩽80 mg/day) for 12 weeks were included. Improvement indices were built for each Yale-Brown Obsessive-Compulsive Severity Scale item at two timeframes: from baseline to week 4 and from baseline to week 12.

HSP70 expression in Biomphalaria glabrata snails exposed to cadmium.

In this study, the effects of the heavy metal cadmium on the stress protein HSP70 are investigated in freshwater mollusks Biomphalaria glabrata. Adult snails were exposed for 96h to CdCl at concentrations ranging from 0.09 to 0.

COMT and MAO-A polymorphisms and obsessive-compulsive disorder: a family-based association study.

Objective: Obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD) is a common and debilitating psychiatric illness. Although a genetic component contributes to its etiology, no single gene or mechanism has been identified to the OCD susceptibility. The catechol-O-methyltransferase (COMT) and monoamine oxidase A (MAO-A) genes have been investigated in previous OCD studies, but the results are still unclear.

Repair of oxidative DNA damage, cell-cycle regulation and neuronal death may influence the clinical manifestation of Alzheimer's disease.

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is characterized by progressive cognitive decline associated with a featured neuropathology (neuritic plaques and neurofibrillary tangles). Several studies have implicated oxidative damage to DNA, DNA repair, and altered cell-cycle regulation in addition to cell death in AD post-mitotic neurons. However, there is a lack of studies that systematically assess those biological processes in patients with AD neuropathology but with no evidence of cognitive impairment.

Testing allele homogeneity: the problem of nested hypotheses.

Background: The evaluation of associations between genotypes and diseases in a case-control framework plays an important role in genetic epidemiology. This paper focuses on the evaluation of the homogeneity of both genotypic and allelic frequencies. The traditional test that is used to check allelic homogeneity is known to be valid only under Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, a property that may not hold in practice.

Chromosomal damage and apoptosis in exfoliated buccal cells from individuals with oral cancer.

This study aimed to investigate cytological abnormalities indicative of chromosome damage (micronuclei) and apoptosis (karyorrhexis, pyknosis, and condensed chromatin) in exfoliated cells from the buccal mucosa of patients with oral cancer and control subjects. The sample included twenty individuals with oral cancer and forty individuals with normal buccal mucosa. Material was collected from the cheek epithelium in areas with lesions and areas without abnormalities.

Anxiety disorders and rheumatic Fever: is there an association?

Introduction: Findings suggest that obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD) and related disorders, referred to as obsessive-compulsive spectrum disorders (OCSDs), are more common in patients with rheumatic fever (RF).

Objectives: To determine whether RF or Sydenham's chorea increases the probability of anxiety disorders in the relatives of individuals with RF with and without SC.

Methods: This was a case-control family study in which 98 probands and 389 first-degree relatives (FDRs) were assessed using structured psychiatric interviews.

Obsessive-compulsive disorder: influence of age at onset on comorbidity patterns.

Purpose: This study investigates the influence of age at onset of OCS on psychiatric comorbidities, and tries to establish a cut-off point for age at onset.

Methods: Three hundred and thirty OCD patients were consecutively recruited and interviewed using the following structured interviews: Yale-Brown Obsessive Compulsive Scale; Yale Global Tic Severity Scale and the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV. Data were analyzed with regression and cluster analysis.

Dominant lethal effects of 2,4-D in Biomphalaria glabrata.

Dominant lethal effects of the herbicide 2,4-dichlorophenoxyacetic acid (2,4-D) were evaluated in the freshwater snail Biomphalaria glabrata. Wild-type snails were exposed during 10 days to 50, 75 and 100ppm of 2,4-D dimethylamine salt (2,4-D DMA) and paired with non-exposed albino snails 1, 11, 25 and 40 days after the exposure. The offspring of the non-exposed albino snails was scored for lethal malformations.

Transcriptome analysis of Paracoccidioides brasiliensis cells undergoing mycelium-to-yeast transition.

Paracoccidioides brasiliensis is a thermodimorphic fungus associated with paracoccidioidomycosis (PCM), a systemic mycosis prevalent in South America. In humans, infection starts by inhalation of fungal propagules, which reach the pulmonary epithelium and transform into the yeast parasitic form. Thus, the mycelium-to-yeast transition is of particular interest because conversion to yeast is essential for infection.

Variant proteins of Plasmodium vivax are not clonally expressed in natural infections.

Plasmodium vivax is the most widely distributed human malaria parasite and responsible for 70-80 million clinical cases each year and a large socio-economical burden. The sequence of a chromosome end from P. vivax revealed the existence of a multigene superfamily, termed vir (P.

Adrenocortical carcinoma: prognostic indices based on clinical and immunohistochemical markers.

Adrenocortical carcinoma is a rare condition with an unpredictable prognosis as a rule. The authors retrospectively analyzed the clinical outcome of 46 patients (31 F, 15 M) during 16 years building up a numerical index for the prognosis, based on clinical and immunohistochemical data. Four indices were analyzed: J1= (Y + 2L + 4H)/T; J2 = (J1) square root of W/200; J3 = (O + Y + 2L + 4H)/T; J4 = (J3) square root W/200.

DNA microarrays for comparative genomics and analysis of gene expression in Trypanosoma cruzi.

Trypanosoma cruzi presents high genetic diversity and parasite isolates show remarkable differences in biological parameters. In this study, we evaluated whether DNA microarrays containing CL Brener cDNAs can be used for comparative genomics and for the analysis of gene expression in T. cruzi.

Dominant lethal effect of 60Co gamma radiation in Biomphalaria glabrata (SAY, 1818).

The dominant lethal effects of gamma radiation of 60Co in the snail Biomphalaria glabrata were studied. Three groups of 13 wild-type snails were irradiated with single doses of 2.5; 10 and 20 Gy.