Publications by authors named "Carley E Iles"
Article Synopsis
- The climate science and applications communities are developing a demand-driven framework called "climatic impact-driver" (CID) to assess how physical climate conditions affect human and natural systems.
- This framework categorizes CIDs into seven types (like heat and drought) and 33 distinct categories, facilitating collaboration between climate scientists and impacts experts for better understanding sectoral responses.
- By using CIDs, adaptation planning and risk management can benefit from a comprehensive understanding of climatic conditions, ultimately improving climate services and communication of research findings.
There remains large intersimulation spread in the hydrologic responses to tropical volcanic eruptions, and identifying the sources of diverse responses has important implications for assessing the side effects of solar geoengineering and improving decadal predictions. Here, we show that the intersimulation spread in the global monsoon drying response strongly relates to diverse El Niño responses to tropical eruptions. Most of the coupled climate models simulate El Niño-like equatorial eastern Pacific warming after volcanic eruptions but with different amplitudes, which drive a large spread of summer monsoon weakening and corresponding precipitation reduction.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFFollowing large explosive volcanic eruptions precipitation decreases over much of the globe1-6, particularly in climatologically wet regions4,5. Stratospheric volcanic aerosols reflect sunlight, which reduces evaporation, whilst surface cooling stabilises the atmosphere and reduces its water-holding capacity7. Circulation changes modulate this global precipitation reduction on regional scales1,8-10.
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