Bayesian analysis of an epidemiologic model of Plasmodium falciparum malaria infection in Ndiop, Senegal.

Plasmodium falciparum has a complex transmission cycle. Public health planning and research would benefit from the ability of a calibrated model to predict the epidemiologic characteristics of populations living in areas of malaria endemicity. This paper describes the application of Bayesian calibration to a malaria transmission model using longitudinal data gathered from 176 subjects in Ndiop, Senegal, from July 1, 1993, to July 31, 1994.

Screening blood donations for hepatitis C in Central Africa: analysis of a risk- and cost-based decision tree.

Four screening strategies (no testing, HC Abbott, HC Pasteur, and a combined test) for the detection of hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody in donated blood were considered in a formal decision tree. Decision criteria included residual risk of infection and overall monetary cost. Tree parameters were determined using data from the Central African Republic.

High prevalence in Central Africa of blood donors who are potentially infectious for human herpesvirus 8.

Background: In western countries, the transmission of human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8) via blood transfusion has been recently postulated. In sub-Saharan African, the incidence of HHV-8-associated Kaposi's sarcoma and the seroprevalence for HHV-8 in autochthonous populations are high.

Study Design And Methods: The aim of this study was to estimate the prevalence of blood donations potentially infectious for HHV-8 in the general adult population of Central Africa.

Cervicovaginal anti-HIV antibodies in index women from HIV-discordant, exclusively heterosexual, couples.

Cervicovaginal IgA and IgG anti-gp160 antibodies were evaluated in cervicovaginal secretions from twelve HIV-discordant heterosexual couples, matched with twelve HIV-concordant heterosexual couples, at similar stage of HIV disease. The mean reciprocal end-point titers of cervicovaginal IgA or IgG to gp160 were similar in cases and in controls. These observations suggest that cervicovaginal antibodies to HIV do not appear as biological indicators sufficiently relevant to explain a possible reduced infectivity of the female index case in HIV-discordant couples, by comparison with HIV-concordant couples.

World Health Organization clinical case definition for AIDS in Africa: an analysis of evaluations.

In 1985 at a World Health Organization (WHO) workshop on AIDS in Bangui, Central African Republic, a clinical case definition of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS) was developed for developing countries, such as sub-Saharan Africa, where sophisticated diagnostic equipment is not widely available. A particular cachectic syndrome, the "slim disease", which is highly suggestive of AIDS in Africa, constitutes the substratum for the clinical definition for AIDS. The WHO/Bangui definition in adults has a sensitivity of 60%, a specificity of 90%, and a high predictive value especially in endemic areas.