Publications by authors named "Campbell Finlay"

Article Synopsis
  • The COVID-19 pandemic has seen the emergence of numerous SARS-CoV-2 variants, impacting global health through increased infections and hospitalizations.
  • Early detection and effective surveillance of these variants are crucial for understanding their health risks and guiding public health responses.
  • The article outlines past variants, their genetic evolution, and the importance of integrating genomic data with epidemiological insights for ongoing and future public health initiatives.
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Article Synopsis
  • The WHO developed an alert system from May 2021 to June 2022 to assess and respond to public health risks related to COVID-19, analyzing data from 237 countries.
  • A three-stage mixed methods approach was utilized to predict future deaths and adjust alert levels based on context, leading to the creation of a watchlist for countries needing assistance.
  • The system facilitated significant support, including over $27 million in emergency funding and medical supplies, while demonstrating the potential for similar future applications in managing outbreaks.
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Article Synopsis
  • COVID-19, caused by SARS-CoV-2, was declared a public health emergency in January 2020, with early studies showing that over 80% of deaths were among individuals aged 60 and older.
  • The World Health Organization developed strategies to prioritize vaccine distribution, emphasizing the importance of vaccinating at-risk populations, particularly older adults, aiming for full vaccination coverage.
  • Data analysis revealed that people aged 60 and above made up more than 80% of COVID-19 deaths globally, with significant mortality impact seen in lower and middle-income countries, highlighting the urgency for effective vaccine rollout.*
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Article Synopsis
  • Researchers analyzed hospital COVID-19 transmission using viral genomic and epidemiological data from 2181 patients and staff at a UK NHS Trust during two pandemic waves.
  • Findings indicated a drop in staff-to-staff transmission from 31.6% to 12.9%, while patient-to-patient transmission surged from 27.1% to 52.1%.
  • Control measures effectively curbed staff infections but failed to stop rising patient transmissions; thus, better detection of hospital-acquired cases is crucial to disrupt these transmission chains.
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Introduction: Patient positioning is an essential consideration for the optimisation of radiation dose during CT examinations. The study objectives seek to explore the effects of vertical off-centring, localiser direction (0° and 180°), and phantom positioning (supine and prone) on radiation dose, using three different tube voltages in multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) imaging.

Methods: The trunk of a PBU-60 anthropomorphic phantom was imaged using a Discovery CT750 HD - 128 slice (GE Healthcare).

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We present a global analysis of the spread of recently emerged SARS-CoV-2 variants and estimate changes in effective reproduction numbers at country-specific level using sequence data from GISAID. Nearly all investigated countries demonstrated rapid replacement of previously circulating lineages by the World Health Organization-designated variants of concern, with estimated transmissibility increases of 29% (95% CI: 24-33), 25% (95% CI: 20-30), 38% (95% CI: 29-48) and 97% (95% CI: 76-117), respectively, for B.1.

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Epidemiological outbreak data is often captured in line list and contact format to facilitate contact tracing for outbreak control. is an R package that provides a unique data structure for combining these data into a single object in order to facilitate more efficient visualisation and analysis. The package incorporates interactive visualisation functionality as well as network analysis techniques.

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There exists significant interest in developing statistical and computational tools for inferring 'who infected whom' in an infectious disease outbreak from densely sampled case data, with most recent studies focusing on the analysis of whole genome sequence data. However, genomic data can be poorly informative of transmission events if mutations accumulate too slowly to resolve individual transmission pairs or if there exist multiple pathogens lineages within-host, and there has been little focus on incorporating other types of outbreak data. We present here a methodology that uses contact data for the inference of transmission trees in a statistically rigorous manner, alongside genomic data and temporal data.

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Background: Reconstructing individual transmission events in an infectious disease outbreak can provide valuable information and help inform infection control policy. Recent years have seen considerable progress in the development of methodologies for reconstructing transmission chains using both epidemiological and genetic data. However, only a few of these methods have been implemented in software packages, and with little consideration for customisability and interoperability.

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Recent years have seen the development of numerous methodologies for reconstructing transmission trees in infectious disease outbreaks from densely sampled whole genome sequence data. However, a fundamental and as of yet poorly addressed limitation of such approaches is the requirement for genetic diversity to arise on epidemiological timescales. Specifically, the position of infected individuals in a transmission tree can only be resolved by genetic data if mutations have accumulated between the sampled pathogen genomes.

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