The gun assault case fatality rate measures the fraction of shooting victims who die from their wounds. Considerable debate has surrounded whether gun assault case fatality rates have changed over time and what factors may be involved. We use crime event data from Los Angeles to examine the victim and situational correlates of gun assault case fatality rates over time.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe murder of George Floyd triggered a broad social response and noticeable shift in public opinion of policing. Since policing is dependent upon public cooperation, a question is whether the shift in opinion had an effect on police calls-for-service. Data from Los Angeles and New York City are evaluated using a regression discontinuity design.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFGun violence rates increased in U.S. cities in 2020 and into 2021.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThis case series uses state hospitalization and death records to examine trends in rates of gun homicides and other rates of firearm violence in California between 2005 and 2019.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFGovernments have implemented social distancing measures to address the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. The measures include instructions that individuals maintain social distance when in public, school closures, limitations on gatherings and business operations, and instructions to remain at home. Social distancing may have an impact on the volume and distribution of crime.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFInt J Offender Ther Comp Criminol
December 2017
This study investigates whether crime patterns fluctuate periodically throughout the year using data containing different property crime types in two Canadian cities with differing climates. Using police report data, a series of ordinary least squares (OLS; Vancouver, British Columbia) and negative binomial (Ottawa, Ontario) regressions were employed to examine the corresponding temporal patterns of property crime in Vancouver (2003-2013) and Ottawa (2006-2008). Moreover, both aggregate and disaggregate models were run to examine whether different weather and temporal variables had a distinctive impact on particular offences.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFPhilos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci
November 2014
Given a discrete sample of event locations, we wish to produce a probability density that models the relative probability of events occurring in a spatial domain. Standard density estimation techniques do not incorporate priors informed by spatial data. Such methods can result in assigning significant positive probability to locations where events cannot realistically occur.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFPhys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys
December 2010
The evolution of human cooperation has been the subject of much research, especially within the framework of evolutionary public goods games, where several mechanisms have been proposed to account for persistent cooperation. Yet, in addressing this issue, little attention has been given to games of a more adversarial nature, in which defecting players, rather than simply free riding, actively seek to harm others. Here, we develop an adversarial evolutionary game using the specific example of criminal activity, recasting the familiar public goods strategies of punishers, cooperators, and defectors in this light.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFProc Natl Acad Sci U S A
March 2010
The mechanisms driving the nucleation, spread, and dissipation of crime hotspots are poorly understood. As a consequence, the ability of law enforcement agencies to use mapped crime patterns to design crime prevention strategies is severely hampered. We also lack robust expectations about how different policing interventions should impact crime.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFOne million years ago, proboscideans occupied most of Africa, Europe, Asia, and the Americas. Today, wild elephants are only found in portions of sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Although the causes of global Pleistocene extinctions in the order Proboscidea remain unresolved, the most common explanations involve climatic change and/or human hunting.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFA single-blind, parallel group, general practice study was carried out in 153 patients with mild to moderate depression to compare the efficacy and tolerability of flupenthixol dihydrochloride and dothiepin hydrochloride. Patients were allocated at random to receive single daily doses of either 1 mg flupenthixol in the morning or 75 mg dothiepin in the evening, and this dose could be doubled at the end of 2 weeks in the event of inadequate response. Assessments were made on entry and after 1, 2, 4 and 6 weeks of treatment using the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale, a 4-point severity scale and an unwanted symptoms checklist.
View Article and Find Full Text PDF104 patients suffering from neurotic or reactive depression were treated with either alprazolam or amitriptyline in randomised, double-blind fashion. Seventeen patients were either lost to follow-up or withdrawn before week 2 (13 due to side effects and 1 because she was feeling better). A further 7 patients did not comply with the protocol, giving a total of 24 patients whose data were not considered suitable for inclusion in the analysis of therapeutic assessments.
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