Publications by authors named "Boulle A"

Background: Data on tuberculosis (TB) incidence and risk factors among children living with HIV (CLHIV) in the universal ART era are limited.

Methods: We analysed routinely-collected data on TB diagnoses for CLHIV age ≤5 years, born 2018-2022, in the Westen Cape, South Africa. We examined factors associated with TB diagnosis, with death and loss to follow-up as competing events.

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  • Lack of comprehensive data on congenital disorders (CDs) in South Africa affects resource distribution and detection of risks from harmful pregnancy exposures.
  • A study using the Western Cape Pregnancy Exposure Registry analyzed data from 2016 to 2022, finding a confirmed prevalence of major CDs at 7.2 per 1,000 births, which increased to 9.2 when including missed diagnoses.
  • Factors such as older maternal age and diabetes raised CD prevalence, while HIV status and other conditions did not significantly impact rates; improving neonatal checks and records could enhance CD detection.
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  • * A study in Cape Town, South Africa showed seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 rose from 39.19% in July 2020 to 67.8% by November 2021, with poorer communities experiencing higher rates and mortality.
  • * Seropositivity before the Omicron wave offered strong protection against severe disease, suggesting that effective seroprevalence research is essential for understanding true infection rates and directing public health interventions.
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Using the Data Evaluation and Preparation for HIV-Exposed Uninfected Child Cohorts project's standardized child HIV exposure definitions, 64%, 64% and 90% of children exposed to HIV in utero could be classified as HIV-uninfected with moderate or high certainty at the ages of 1 and 3 years and at the time of first infectious disease hospitalization, respectively. These definitions can be applied retrospectively to routine datasets with linked mother-child data.

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Background: Pretreatment of HIV drug resistance among children living with HIV (CLHIV) can compromise antiretroviral therapy (ART) effectiveness. Resistance may be transmitted directly from mothers or acquired following exposure to antiretrovirals consumed through breastfeeding or administered as prophylaxis.

Methods: We performed resistance testing in children aged <3 years, newly diagnosed with HIV in Western Cape, South Africa (2021-2022), who either (1) acquired HIV via possible breastfeeding transmission from mothers who received ART (any regimen) during pregnancy/postpartum and/or (2) were exposed to protease inhibitors or integrase strand transfer inhibitors (INSTIs) in utero.

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Background: The COVID-19 pandemic prompted strict public health measures to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission, potentially interrupting TB programmes in the Western Cape, South Africa.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study, estimating changes in new TB case rates and risk of death during TB-specific admissions within 6 months of TB first evidence, during the pre-pandemic (1 January 2019-26 March 2020) and after the implementation of public health and social measures (PHSM) periods (26 March 2020-30 September 2021), based on PHSM strictness. We used interrupted time series and logistic regression models to adjust for key characteristics.

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Objectives: The objective of this study is to assess the outcomes of children, adolescents and young adults with HIV reported as lost to follow-up, correct mortality estimates for children, adolescents and young adults with HIV for unascertained outcomes in those loss to follow-up (LTFU) based on tracing and linkage data separately using data from the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS in Southern Africa.

Methods: We included data from two different populations of children, adolescents and young adults with HIV; (1) clinical data from children, adolescents and young adults with HIV aged ≤24 years from Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe; (2) clinical data from children, adolescents and young adults with HIV aged ≤14 years from the Western Cape (WC) in South Africa. Outcomes of patients lost to follow-up were available from (1) a tracing study and (2) linkage to a health information exchange.

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There are few data on the real-world effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines and boosting in Africa, which experienced widespread SARS-CoV-2 infection before vaccine availability. We assessed the association between vaccination and severe COVID-19 in the Western Cape, South Africa, in an observational cohort study of >2 million adults during 2020-2022. We described SARS-CoV-2 testing, COVID-19 outcomes, and vaccine uptake over time.

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Background: The traditional HIV treatment cascade aims to visualise the journey of each person living with HIV from diagnosis, through initiation on antiretroviral therapy (ART) to treatment success, represented by virological suppression. This representation has been a pivotal tool in highlighting and quantifying sequential gaps along the care continuum. There is longstanding recognition, however, that this may oversimplify the complexity of real-world engagement with HIV services in settings with mature high-burden HIV epidemics.

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Background: In South African antiretroviral guidelines, selected patients failing second-line protease inhibitor (PI)-based therapy qualify for genotypic resistance testing - those with PI resistance receive darunavir-based third-line regimens; those without PI resistance continue current regimen with adherence support. The Western Cape province, from September 2020, implemented a strategy of tenofovir-lamivudine-dolutegravir (TLD) for patients, provided there was no tenofovir resistance, irrespective of PI resistance.

Objectives: To evaluate virologic outcomes with TLD among adults failing second-line PI regimens with no tenofovir resistance.

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Background: Accurate measurement of antenatal antiretroviral treatment (ART) coverage in pregnancy is imperative in tracking progress towards elimination of vertical HIV transmission. In the Western Cape, South Africa, public-sector individual-level routine data are consolidated from multiple sources, enabling the description of temporal changes in population-wide antenatal antiretroviral coverage. We evaluated the validity of different methods for measuring ART coverage among pregnant women.

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Introduction: In recent years, the expansion of HIV treatment eligibility has resulted in an increase in people with antiretroviral therapy (ART) experience prior to pregnancy but little is known about postpartum engagement in care in this population. We examined differences in disengagement from HIV care after delivery by maternal ART history before conception.

Methods: We analysed data from people living with HIV (aged 15-49) in Khayelitsha, South Africa, with ≥1 live birth between April 2013 and March 2019.

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Background: In the Western Cape, South Africa, public-sector individual-level routine data are consolidated from multiple sources through the Provincial Health Data Centre (PHDC). This enables the description of temporal changes in population-wide antenatal HIV seroprevalence. We evaluated the validity of these data compared to aggregated program data and population-wide sentinel antenatal HIV seroprevalence surveys for the Western Cape province.

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Introduction: Monitoring mother-infant pairs with HIV exposure is needed to assess the effectiveness of vertical transmission (VT) prevention programmes and progress towards VT elimination.

Methods: We used routinely collected data on infants with HIV exposure, born May 2018-April 2021 in the Western Cape, South Africa, with follow-up through mid-2022. We assessed the proportion of infants diagnosed with HIV at birth (≤7 days), 10 weeks (>1 to 14 weeks) and >14 weeks as proxies for intrauterine, intrapartum/early breastfeeding and late breastfeeding transmission, respectively.

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Background: Pediatric programs face a high rate of loss to follow-up (LTFU) among children and adolescents living with HIV (CAHIV). We assessed true outcomes and predictors of these among CAHIV who were LTFU using linkage to the Western Cape Provincial Health Data Centre at Western Cape sites of the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS-Southern Africa collaboration.

Methods: We examined factors associated with self-transfer, hospital admission and mortality using competing risks regression in a retrospective cohort of CAHIV initiating antiretroviral therapy <15 years old between 2004 and 2019 and deemed LTFU (no recorded visit at the original facility for ≥180 days from the last visit date before database closure and not known to have officially transferred out or deceased).

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Article Synopsis
  • A statistical model was developed to analyze the prevalence and associations of multi-long-term conditions in South Africa, addressing the limitations of traditional meta-analysis methods for heterogeneous data.
  • The study identified strong associations between diseases like COPD and asthma, as well as combinations of prevalent conditions, highlighting hypertension's role in various comorbidities among individuals aged 15 and older.
  • Findings reveal that South Africa has notably high rates of conditions like HIV, hypertension, and diabetes, with specific combinations of these diseases being most common, while also noting that less prevalent conditions still have significant impacts on overall health.
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Background: There are few data on the real-world effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines and boosting in Africa, which experienced high levels of SARS-CoV-2 infection in a mostly vaccine-naïve population, and has limited vaccine coverage and competing health service priorities. We assessed the association between vaccination and severe COVID-19 in the Western Cape, South Africa.

Methods: We performed an observational cohort study of >2 million adults during 2020-2022.

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The increasing digitisation of personal health data has led to an increase in the demand for onward health data. This study sought to develop local language scripts for use in public sector maternity clinics to capture informed consent for onward health data use. The script considered five possible health data uses: 1.

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Every person diagnosed with tuberculosis (TB) needs to initiate treatment. The World Health Organization estimated that 61% of people who developed TB in 2021 were included in a TB treatment registration system. Initial loss to follow-up (ILTFU) is the loss of persons to care between diagnosis and treatment initiation/registration.

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  • In South Africa, informed consent for health data collection is often not explicitly sought in public clinics, leading to a lack of awareness among patients regarding the broader uses of their health data.
  • A study conducted in Gauteng and the Western Cape involved interviews with healthcare providers and maternity service patients, revealing that many patients were unfamiliar with the notion of their data being used beyond personal medical care.
  • While patients favored the digitization of their health data for easier access, they struggled to understand how their information could be used anonymously, highlighting the need for clear communication and systems to obtain informed consent for future data use.
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Introduction: With the scaling up of vertical HIV transmission prevention programmes, the HIV-related population profile of children in South Africa has shifted. We described temporal changes in HIV-related characteristics of children, aged ≤3 years (up to the third birthday), with infectious disease hospitalisations across the Western Cape province.

Methods: We used routinely collected electronic data to identify children born in the Western Cape with infectious disease hospital records for lower respiratory tract infections, diarrhoea, meningitis and tuberculous meningitis, from 2008 to 2021.

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Background: The first vertical transmission of HIV prevention (VTP) programme in South Africa was launched in 1999 in Khayelitsha, Western Cape Province (WC). Since then, VTP guidelines have expanded in complexity and scope.

Objectives: To describe contemporary VTP uptake in Khayelitsha and quantify vertical transmission (VT) risk factors based on linked routine electronic health data.

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Background: Despite the close relationship between pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI), gestational weight gain (GWG) and postpartum weight (PPW), these factors are often studied separately. There are no data characterising longitudinal weight trajectories among pregnant and postpartum women in urban African populations. We examined maternal weight trajectories from pregnancy through to 12 months postpartum, factors associated with higher weight trajectory class membership and associations of weight trajectories with infant growth at 12 months.

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Introduction: We evaluated associations of HIV and antiretroviral therapy (ART) with birth and maternal outcomes at a province-wide-level in the Western Cape, South Africa, in a recent cohort before dolutegravir-based first-line ART implementation.

Methods: This retrospective cohort study included pregnant people delivering in 2018-2019 with data in the Western Cape Provincial Health Data Centre which integrates individual-level data on all public sector patients from multiple electronic platforms using unique identifiers. Adverse birth outcomes (stillbirth, low birth weight (LBW), very LBW (VLBW)) and maternal outcomes (early and late pregnancy-related deaths, early and late hospitalizations) were compared by HIV/ART status and adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs) calculated using log-binomial regression.

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