Statistical models are an alternative to numerical models for reconstructing storm surges at a low computational cost. These models directly link surges to metocean variables, i.e.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFBoth unresolved physics in numerical models and limited theoretical understanding of the small-scale diffusion processes occurring near the ocean surface hamper predictability of tropical cyclone (TC) wind changes. An analytical model is here developed to diagnose the short-term evolution of the TC wind profile. An effective frictional parameter is introduced to control the unknown diffusion effects.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFAlong the European coasts, changes in the timing of the storm surge season are analyzed. Using 10 long-term tide gauges located in western Europe, a consistent spatio-temporal shift emerged in the storm surge season between 1950 and 2000. Temporal shifts are positive (later events) in the North, negative (earlier events) in the South.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFTo infer eigenvalues of the infinite-dimensional Koopman operator, we study the leading eigenvalues of the autocovariance matrix associated with a given observable of a dynamical system. For any observable f for which all the time-delayed autocovariance exist, we construct a Hilbert space H_{f} and a Koopman-like operator K that acts on H_{f}. We prove that the leading eigenvalues of the autocovariance matrix has one-to-one correspondence with the energy of f that is represented by the eigenvectors of K.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFShelf seas play an important role in the global carbon cycle, absorbing atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO) and exporting carbon (C) to the open ocean and sediments. The magnitude of these processes is poorly constrained, because observations are typically interpolated over multiple years. Here, we used 298500 observations of CO fugacity (fCO) from a single year (2015), to estimate the net influx of atmospheric CO as 26.
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