Large sex differences in vulnerability to circulatory-system disease under current and future climate in Bucharest and its rural surroundings.

Circulatory-system diseases (CSDs) are responsible for 50-60% of all deaths in Romania. Due to its continental climate, with cold winters and very warm summers, there is a strong temperature dependence of the CSD mortality. Additionally, within its capital Bucharest, the urban heat island (UHI) is expected to enhance (reduce) heat (cold)-related mortality.

Association between temperature and natural mortality in Belgium: Effect modification by individual characteristics and residential environment.

Background: There is strong evidence of mortality being associated to extreme temperatures but the extent to which individual or residential factors modulate this temperature vulnerability is less clear.

Methods: We conducted a multi-city study with a time-stratified case-crossover design and used conditional logistic regression to examine the association between extreme temperatures and overall natural and cause-specific mortality. City-specific estimates were pooled using a random-effect meta-analysis to describe the global association.

Impact of Short-Term Exposure to Extreme Temperatures on Mortality: A Multi-City Study in Belgium.

In light of climate change, health risks are expected to be exacerbated by more frequent high temperatures and reduced by less frequent cold extremes. To assess the impact of different climate change scenarios, it is necessary to describe the current effects of temperature on health. A time-stratified case-crossover design fitted with conditional quasi-Poisson regressions and distributed lag non-linear models was applied to estimate specific temperature-mortality associations in nine urban agglomerations in Belgium, and a random-effect meta-analysis was conducted to pool the estimates.

Impact of Heat Waves on Hospitalisation and Mortality in Nursing Homes: A Case-Crossover Study.

Climate change leads to more days with extremely hot temperatures. Previous analyses of heat waves have documented a short-term rise in mortality. The results on the relationship between high temperatures and hospitalisations, especially in vulnerable patients admitted to nursing homes, are inconsistent.

Heat related mortality in the two largest Belgian urban areas: A time series analysis.

Background: Summer temperatures are expected to increase and heat waves will occur more frequently, be longer, and be more intense as a result of global warming. A growing body of evidence indicates that increasing temperature and heatwaves are associated with excess mortality and therefore global heating may become a major public health threat. However, the heat-mortality relationship has been shown to be location-specific and differences could largely be explained by the most frequent temperature.

Degree-dependent network growth: from preferential attachment to explosive percolation.

We present a simple model of network growth and solve it by writing the dynamic equations for its macroscopic characteristics such as the degree distribution and degree correlations. This allows us to study carefully the percolation transition using a generating functions theory. The model considers a network with a fixed number of nodes wherein links are introduced using degree-dependent linking probabilities pk.

Criterion for explosive percolation transitions on complex networks.

In a recent Letter, Friedman and Landsberg discussed the underlying mechanism of explosive phase transitions on complex networks [Phys. Rev. Lett.

Biased percolation on scale-free networks.

Biased (degree-dependent) percolation was recently shown to provide strategies for turning robust networks fragile and vice versa. Here, we present more detailed results for biased edge percolation on scale-free networks. We assume a network in which the probability for an edge between nodes i and j to be retained is proportional to (k(i)k(j)(-alpha) with k(i) and k(j) the degrees of the nodes.