Publications by authors named "Bellavia A"

Background: Catheter ablation improves symptoms and quality of life in atrial fibrillation patients, but its effect on adverse cardiovascular outcomes and mortality remains uncertain. Bayesian analysis of randomized controlled trials offers a deeper understanding of treatment effects beyond conventional p-value thresholds.

Methods: We conducted a post hoc Bayesian reanalysis of CABANA and four similar trials to estimate catheter ablation's effect on cardiovascular and survival outcomes.

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Background: Primary results from randomized clinical trials (RCT) only inform on the average treatment effect in the studied population, and it is critical to understand how treatment effect varies across subpopulations. In this paper we describe a clustering-based approach for the assessment of Heterogeneity of Treatment Effect (HTE) over patient phenotypes, which maintains the unsupervised nature of classical subgroup analysis while jointly accounting for relevant patient characteristics.

Methods: We applied phenotype-based stratification in the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial, a non-inferiority trial comparing the effects of higher-dose edoxaban regimen (direct anticoagulant) versus warfarin (vitamin K antagonist) on a composite endpoint of stroke and systemic embolism in 14,062 patients with atrial fibrillation.

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  • Heart failure is a common issue for patients with atrial fibrillation, making risk assessment crucial for clinicians.
  • This study analyzed data from three large trials to evaluate how well NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT, and GDF-15 predict heart failure risk in these patients.
  • Results showed that higher levels of these biomarkers correlate with a higher risk for cardiovascular death and heart failure-related hospitalization, enhancing the predictive accuracy of clinical assessments.
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The plasticizer di(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate (DEHP) is known to have endocrine-disrupting properties mediated by its many metabolites that form upon exposure in biological systems. In a previous study, we reported an inverse association between DEHP metabolites in the human ovarian follicular fluid (FF) and the responsiveness of the follicles to controlled ovarian stimulation during in vitro fertilization (IVF) treatments. Here, we explored this association further through molecular analysis of the ovarian FF samples.

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  • A clinical risk model was created to identify individuals at higher risk for developing new-onset diabetes, helping to target those who would benefit most from weight loss medication.
  • The study analyzed data from over 21,000 patients without type 2 diabetes, assessing 27 risk factors and ultimately identifying five key predictors linked to new-onset diabetes.
  • The model demonstrated strong accuracy and differentiation in predicting risk levels and showed varying degrees of benefit from weight-loss therapy based on an individual's risk status.
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Objective: To evaluate the associations of plasma polybrominated diphenyl ether (PBDE) concentrations in early pregnancy with gestational weight gain (GWG).

Design: Prospective cohort study.

Setting: US-based, multicentre cohort of pregnant women.

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Background: Distinctive differences in multiple sclerosis (MS) have been observed by race and ethnicity. We aim to (1) assess how often race and ethnicity were reported in clinical trials registered on , (2) evaluate whether the population was diverse enough, and (3) compare with publications.

Methods: We included phase 3 clinical trials registered with results on between 2007 and 2023.

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  • The study aimed to identify protein biomarkers linked to cardiogenic shock (CS) using advanced proteomic profiling techniques.
  • It involved analyzing samples from 239 cardiac patients, determining that 63 biomarkers were significantly related to CS, with nine remaining consistent across different patient subsets.
  • The researchers concluded that specific biomarkers could enhance the diagnosis of CS and proposed a multi-marker model incorporating key proteins for future use.
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Interaction analysis is a critical component of clinical and public health research and represents a key topic in precision health and medicine. In applied settings, however, interaction assessment is usually limited to the test of a product term in a regression model and to the presentation of results stratified by levels of additional covariates. Stratification of results often relies on categorizing or making linearity assumptions for continuous covariates, with substantial loss of precision and of relevant information.

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Purpose: Pregnancy and the postpartum period are increasingly recognised as sensitive windows for cardiometabolic disease risk. Growing evidence suggests environmental exposures, including endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs), are associated with an increased risk of pregnancy complications that are associated with long-term cardiometabolic risk. However, the impact of perinatal EDC exposure on subsequent cardiometabolic risk post-pregnancy is less understood.

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Background: Diabetes may be associated with differential outcomes in patients undergoing left main coronary revascularization with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). The aim of this study was to investigate outcomes in patients with left main disease with and without diabetes randomized to PCI versus CABG.

Methods: Individual patient data were pooled from 4 trials (SYNTAX [Synergy Between PCI With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery], PRECOMBAT [Premier of Randomized Comparison of Bypass Surgery Versus Angioplasty Using Sirolimus-Eluting Stent in Patients With Left Main Coronary Artery Disease], NOBLE [Nordic-Baltic-British Left Main Revascularisation Study], and EXCEL [Evaluation of XIENCE Versus Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery for Effectiveness of Left Main Revascularization]) that randomized patients with left main disease to PCI or CABG.

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Background: Accumulating evidence suggests that non-genetic factors have important etiologic roles in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), yet identification of specific culprit factors has been challenging. Many medications target biological pathways implicated in ALS pathogenesis, and screening large pharmacologic datasets for signals could greatly accelerate the identification of risk-modulating pharmacologic factors for ALS.

Method: We conducted a high-dimensional screening of patients' history of medication use and ALS risk using an advanced machine learning approach based on gradient-boosted decision trees coupled with Bayesian model optimization and repeated data sampling.

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Background: Racial and ethnic disparities persist in preterm birth (PTB) and gestational age (GA) at delivery in the United States. It remains unclear whether exposure to environmental chemicals contributes to these disparities.

Objectives: We applied recent methodologies incorporating environmental mixtures as mediators in causal mediation analysis to examine whether racial and ethnic disparities in GA at delivery and PTB may be partially explained by exposures to polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs), a class of chemicals used as flame retardants in the United States.

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Article Synopsis
  • N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels are lower in obese patients, and its relationship with heart failure risk related to BMI is not fully understood.
  • Analysis of data from three clinical trials with overweight and obese patients showed a significant inverse relationship between NT-proBNP levels and BMI, with higher BMI correlating to increased risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HHF).
  • Treatment with dapagliflozin reduced HHF risk across BMI categories, notably showing greater risk reduction for patients with higher BMI and elevated NT-proBNP levels.
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  • The study aimed to create a risk assessment tool for identifying type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients at higher risk of kidney disease progression, focusing on those who may benefit from SGLT2 inhibitors like dapagliflozin.
  • The research analyzed data from over 41,000 T2D patients, identifying eight key predictors of kidney disease progression and validating the model, showing strong predictive accuracy.
  • Results indicated that while dapagliflozin's relative risk reduction was consistent across risk categories, patients with higher baseline risk experienced a greater absolute reduction in kidney disease progression over time.
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  • - The study investigates the link between air pollution and the risk of dementia, focusing on how the substances homocysteine (tHcy) and methionine might play a role in this connection, as well as the impact of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs).
  • - Researchers analyzed data from over 2,500 dementia-free participants in Sweden, tracking air pollution levels and dementia diagnoses over an average of about 5 years, revealing a 70% increased risk of dementia associated with higher particulate matter levels.
  • - Findings suggest that nearly 51.6% of the effect of particulate matter on dementia risk is mediated by tHcy and interactions with other factors, highlighting the complex relationship between air quality and neurological health.
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  • * A total of 42,181 patients were analyzed, leading to the identification of 16 key variables that can predict the likelihood of these events, with a notable difference in risk rates between high and low-risk groups.
  • * The model performed well in both predicting outcomes and guiding treatment choices, showing more significant risk reductions from certain medications in patients with higher baseline risk.
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  • - The study aimed to investigate the effects of long-term exposure to air pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, and NO2) on the severity of Covid-19 pneumonia specifically in patients with Multiple Sclerosis (MS), building on previous research that only considered PM2.5.
  • - Researchers conducted a case-control study with 491 MS patients, utilizing statistical methods such as logistic regression and weighted quantile sum regression to analyze the relationship between pollutant exposure and the likelihood of developing Covid-19 pneumonia.
  • - Results indicated that higher levels of PM2.5, PM10, and NO2 were significantly linked to increased chances of Covid-19 pneumonia, with NO2 and PM2.5 identified as the most
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Objective: Women of reproductive age are exposed to ubiquitous chemicals such as phthalates, parabens, and per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), which have potential endocrine disrupting properties and might affect fertility. Our objective was to investigate associations between potential endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs) and female fertility in two cohorts of women attending fertility clinics.

Methods: In a total population of 333 women in Sweden and Estonia, we studied the associations between chemicals and female fertility, evaluating ovarian sensitivity index (OSI) as an indicator of ovarian response, as well as clinical pregnancy and live birth from fresh and frozen embryo transfers.

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Background: Studies suggest associations between exposure to individual polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs) with preterm birth (PTB) and shorter gestational age. Little is known about exposure to PBDE mixtures and these outcomes. We evaluated associations of multiple PBDEs in early pregnancy with gestational age at delivery and PTB.

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Background: Several studies have confirmed associations between air pollution and overall mortality, but it is unclear to what extent these associations reflect causal relationships. Moreover, few studies to our knowledge have accounted for complex mixtures of air pollution. In this study, we evaluate the causal effects of a mixture of air pollutants on overall mortality in a large, prospective cohort of Dutch individuals.

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