Publications by authors named "B D Kahan"

Background: There are numerous approaches available to analyse data from cluster randomised trials. These include cluster-level summary methods and individual-level methods accounting for clustering, such as generalised estimating equations and generalised linear mixed models. There has been much methodological work showing that estimates of treatment effects can vary depending on the choice of approach, particularly when estimating odds ratios, essentially because the different approaches target different estimands.

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Article Synopsis
  • Estimands help clarify treatment effects in research, especially in cluster-randomised trials where additional factors must be defined.
  • The paper defines estimands using potential outcomes notation and examines the differences between them along with associated estimators and their assumptions.
  • A re-analysis of a published cluster-randomised trial illustrates that different estimands and estimators can significantly influence the interpretation of results and treatment effect estimates.
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To obtain valid inference following stratified randomisation, treatment effects should be estimated with adjustment for stratification variables. Stratification sometimes requires categorisation of a continuous prognostic variable (eg, age), which raises the question: should adjustment be based on randomisation categories or underlying continuous values? In practice, adjustment for randomisation categories is more common. We reviewed trials published in general medical journals and found none of the 32 trials that stratified randomisation based on a continuous variable adjusted for continuous values in the primary analysis.

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Estimands can be used in studies of healthcare interventions to clarify the interpretation of treatment effects. The addendum to the ICH E9 harmonised guideline on statistical principles for clinical trials (ICH E9(R1)) describes a framework for using estimands as part of a study. This paper provides an overview of the estimands framework, as outlined in the addendum, with the aim of explaining why estimands are beneficial; clarifying the terminology being used; and providing practical guidance on using estimands to decide the appropriate study design, data collection, and estimation methods.

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