Asymptotic behavior of an epidemic model with infinitely many variants.

We investigate the long-time dynamics of a SIR epidemic model with infinitely many pathogen variants infecting a homogeneous host population. We show that the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] of the pathogen can be defined in that case and corresponds to a threshold between the persistence ([Formula: see text]) and the extinction ([Formula: see text]) of the pathogen population. When [Formula: see text] and the maximal fitness is attained by at least one variant, we show that the systems reaches an endemic equilibrium state that can be explicitly determined from the initial data.

A model of a fishery with fish storage and variable price involving delay equations.

We propose a bio-economic model of a fishery describing the variations of the fish stock, the fishing effort and the price of the resource on the market supposed to depend on supply and demand. The originality of this model comes from taking into account the storage of part of the resource for a certain time before being put up for sale on the market. Taking into account the supposedly fast price dynamics compared to the other mechanisms involved and after integration of the stock equation, the system is reduced to a system of two delayed differential equations.

Return-to-home model for short-range human travel.

In this work, we develop a mathematical model to describe the local movement of individuals by taking into account their return to home after a period of travel. We provide a suitable functional framework to handle this system and study the large-time behavior of the solutions. We extend our model by incorporating a colonization process and applying the return to home process to an epidemic.

Understanding dynamics of Plasmodium falciparum gametocytes production: Insights from an age-structured model.

Many models of within-host malaria infection dynamics have been formulated since the pioneering work of Anderson et al. in 1989. Biologically, the goal of these models is to understand what governs the severity of infections, the patterns of infectiousness, and the variation thereof across individual hosts.

An epi-evolutionary model for predicting the adaptation of spore-producing pathogens to quantitative resistance in heterogeneous environments.

We have modeled the evolutionary epidemiology of spore-producing plant pathogens in heterogeneous environments sown with several cultivars carrying quantitative resistances. The model explicitly tracks the infection-age structure and genetic composition of the pathogen population. Each strain is characterized by pathogenicity traits determining its infection efficiency and a time-varying sporulation curve taking into account lesion aging.

Mathematical modeling of forest ecosystems by a reaction-diffusion-advection system: impacts of climate change and deforestation.

We present an innovative mathematical model for studying the dynamics of forest ecosystems. Our model is determined by an age-structured reaction-diffusion-advection system in which the roles of the water resource and of the atmospheric activity are considered. The model is abstract but constructed in such a manner that it can be applied to real-world forest areas; thus it allows to establish an infinite number of scenarios for testing the robustness and resilience of forest ecosystems to anthropic actions or to climate change.

Convergence to a pulsating travelling wave for an epidemic reaction-diffusion system with non-diffusive susceptible population.

In this work we study the asymptotic behaviour of the Kermack-McKendrick reaction-diffusion system in a periodic environment with non-diffusive susceptible population. This problem was proposed by Kallen et al. as a model for the spatial spread for epidemics, where it can be reasonable to assume that the susceptible population is motionless.

The dispersion of age differences between partners and the asymptotic dynamics of the HIV epidemic.

In this paper, the effect of a change in the distribution of age differences between sexual partners on the dynamics of the HIV epidemic is studied. In a gender- and age-structured compartmental model, it is shown that if the variance of the distribution is small enough, an increase in this variance strongly increases the basic reproduction number. Moreover, if the variance is large enough, the mean age difference barely affects the basic reproduction number.

A metapopulation model for malaria with transmission-blocking partial immunity in hosts.

A metapopulation malaria model is proposed using SI and SIRS models for the vectors and hosts, respectively. Recovered hosts are partially immune to the disease and while they cannot directly become infectious again, they can still transmit the parasite to vectors. The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is shown to govern the local stability of the disease free equilibrium but not the global behavior of the system because of the potential occurrence of a backward bifurcation.

A model of a fishery with fish stock involving delay equations.

The aim of this paper is to provide a new mathematical model for a fishery by including a stock variable for the resource. This model takes the form of an infinite delay differential equation. It is mathematically studied and a bifurcation analysis of the steady states is fulfilled.