Classical dynamical coarse-grained entropy and comparison with the quantum version.

We develop the framework of classical observational entropy, which is a mathematically rigorous and precise framework for nonequilibrium thermodynamics, explicitly defined in terms of a set of observables. Observational entropy can be seen as a generalization of Boltzmann entropy to systems with indeterminate initial conditions, and it describes the knowledge achievable about the system by a macroscopic observer with limited measurement capabilities; it becomes Gibbs entropy in the limit of perfectly fine-grained measurements. This quantity, while previously mentioned in the literature, has been investigated in detail only in the quantum case.

Probabilistic bound on extreme fluctuations in isolated quantum systems.

We ask to what extent an isolated quantum system can eventually "contract" to be contained within a given Hilbert subspace. We do this by starting with an initial random state, considering the probability that all the particles will be measured in a fixed subspace, and maximizing this probability over all time. This is relevant, for example, in a cosmological context, which may have access to indefinite timescales.

Measures on transitions for cosmology from eternal inflation.

We argue that, in the context of eternal inflation in the landscape, making predictions for cosmological--and possibly particle physics--observables requires a measure on the possible cosmological histories as opposed to one on the vacua themselves. If significant slow-roll inflation occurs, the observables are generally determined by the history after the last transition between metastable vacua. Hence, we start from several existing measures for counting vacua and develop measures for counting the transitions between vacua.