A tool for selecting patients with a high probability of sustained virological response to peginterferon alfa-2a (40kD)/ribavirin.

Background & Aims: Pretreatment identification of patients likely to achieve a sustained virological response (SVR) with peginterferon alfa-2a/ribavirin would be useful for individualizing treatment choices. The aim of this analysis was to devise a simple scoring system to identify patients with high probability of achieving an SVR with peginterferon alfa-2a/ribavirin.

Methods: Using data from 2109 Caucasian treatment-naive hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1 mono-infected patients from the PROPHESYS cohorts, the relationship between favourable baseline characteristics and SVR was explored using generalized additive model analysis, and a scoring system was devised to predict SVR.