The Gap Between Daily Hospital Bed Supply and Demand: Design, Implementation, and Impact of Data-Driven Pre-Noon Discharge Targets.

Background: Hospitals have sought to increase pre-noon discharges to improve capacity, although evidence is mixed on the impact of these initiatives. Past interventions have not quantified the daily gap between morning bed supply and demand. The authors quantified this gap and applied the pre-noon data to target a pre-noon discharge initiative.

Design and Performance of a COVID-19 Hospital Recovery Model.

Unlabelled: To determine the accuracy of a predictive model for inpatient occupancy that was implemented at a large New England hospital to aid hospital recovery planning from the COVID-19 surge.

Background: During recovery from COVID surges, hospitals must plan for multiple patient populations vying for inpatient capacity, so that they maintain access for emergency department (ED) patients while enabling time-sensitive scheduled procedures to go forward. To guide pandemic recovery planning, we implemented a model to predict hospital occupancy for COVID and non-COVID patients.

The Power of Modeling in Emergency Preparedness for COVID-19: A Moonshot Moment for Hospitals.

Before coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), few hospitals had fully tested emergency surge plans. Uncertainty in the timing and degree of surge complicates planning efforts, putting hospitals at risk of being overwhelmed. Many lack access to hospital-specific, data-driven projections of future patient demand to guide operational planning.

Development and Validation of a Machine Learning Model to Aid Discharge Processes for Inpatient Surgical Care.

Importance: Inpatient overcrowding is associated with delays in care, including the deferral of surgical care until beds are available to accommodate postoperative patients. Timely patient discharge is critical to address inpatient overcrowding and requires coordination among surgeons, nurses, case managers, and others. This is difficult to achieve without early identification and systemwide transparency of discharge candidates and their respective barriers to discharge.

Non-clinical delays in transfer out of the surgical ICU are associated with increased hospital length of stay and delayed progress of care.

Purpose: The impact of non-clinical transfer delay (TD) from the ICU to a general care unit on the progress of the patient's care is unknown. We measured the association between TD and: (1) the patient's subsequent hospital length of stay (LOS); (2) the timing of care decisions that would advance patient care.

Methods: This was a single center retrospective study in the United States of patients admitted to the surgical and neurosurgical ICUs during 2013 and 2015.