Seasonal prediction of the boreal winter stratosphere.

Unlabelled: The predictability of the Northern Hemisphere stratosphere and its underlying dynamics are investigated in five state-of-the-art seasonal prediction systems from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) multi-model database. Special attention is devoted to the connection between the stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) and lower-stratosphere wave activity (LSWA). We find that in winter (December to February) dynamical forecasts initialised on the first of November are considerably more skilful than empirical forecasts based on October anomalies.

Nomograms for predicting adverse obstetric outcome in IVF pregnancy: A preliminary study.

Background: In a previous study, we showed that the obstetric complication rate after in vitro fertilization (IVF) pregnancy was 40%. The main objective of our study was to determine maternal prognosis factors that influence the IVF pregnancy outcome.

Methods: We conducted an observational retrospective monocentric study between January 2014 and January 2018.