The Impact of Global Development Pathways on Food Security and Diet Quality: Results of a Global Economic Model.

This study aims to assess the impact of future global development pathways on food and nutrition security, particularly on the composition of diets considering macronutrients. For this purpose, two alternative baseline scenarios until 2030 following the narratives of shared socioeconomic pathways are simulated using a global economic model, extended to account for detailed nutrition information of different food groups taken from the FAO food balance sheets. In general, both scenarios reveal increases in energy intake for the average consumer in all regions.