Publications by authors named "Alan Hubbard"

Shorter telomere length (TL) is associated with an increased risk for developing chronic or age-related diseases in adults. The process of telomere shortening is accelerated in response to stress and is well characterized in adult populations from high-income countries. Prior studies suggest the relationship between stress, shorter TL, and disease risk initiates in early life.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Although randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are a cornerstone of comparative effectiveness, they typically have much smaller sample size than observational studies due to financial and ethical considerations. Therefore there is interest in using plentiful historical data (either observational data or prior trials) to reduce trial sizes. Previous estimators developed for this purpose rely on unrealistic assumptions, without which the added data can bias the treatment effect estimate.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Water, sanitation, hygiene (WSH), nutrition (N), and combined (N+WSH) interventions are often implemented by global health organizations, but WSH interventions may insufficiently reduce pathogen exposure, and nutrition interventions may be modified by environmental enteric dysfunction (EED), a condition of increased intestinal permeability and inflammation. This study investigated the heterogeneity of these treatments' effects based on individual pathogen and EED biomarker status with respect to child linear growth.

Methods: We applied cross-validated targeted maximum likelihood estimation and super learner ensemble machine learning to assess the conditional treatment effects in subgroups defined by biomarker and pathogen status.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Weather extremes are predicted to influence pathogen exposure but their effects on specific faecal-oral transmission pathways are not well investigated. We evaluated associations between extreme rain and temperature during different antecedent periods (0-14 days) and Escherichia coli along eight faecal-oral pathways in rural Bangladeshi households.

Methods: We used data from the WASH Benefits Bangladesh cluster-randomised controlled trial (NCT01590095).

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Introduction: Africa is the least motorized populated continent, yet it experiences the highest traffic fatality rate. Despite laws mandating helmet and seatbelt use, data on protective gear use among Cameroonian road traffic injury (RTI) patients remains sparse.

Methods: We extracted Cameroon Trauma Registry data prospectively collected from 10 hospitals during July 2022 to December 2023.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Antibiotics can trigger antimicrobial resistance and microbiome alterations. Reducing pathogen exposure and undernutrition can reduce infections and antibiotic use. We assess effects of water, sanitation, handwashing (WSH) and nutrition interventions on caregiver-reported antibiotic use in Bangladesh and Kenya, longitudinally measured at three timepoints among birth cohorts (ages 3-28 months) in a cluster-randomized trial.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Understanding treatment effects on health-related outcomes using real-world data requires defining a causal parameter and imposing relevant identification assumptions to translate it into a statistical estimand. Semiparametric methods, like the targeted maximum likelihood estimator (TMLE), have been developed to construct asymptotically linear estimators of these parameters. To further establish the asymptotic efficiency of these estimators, two conditions must be met: 1) the relevant components of the data likelihood must fall within a Donsker class, and 2) the estimates of nuisance parameters must converge to their true values at a rate faster than .

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Cameroon is amongst the worst affected countries by road traffic injuries with an estimated 1443 disability-adjusted life years per 100,000 population. There have been very limited reports on the crucial prehospital response to road traffic injuries in Cameroon. This study aimed to identify prehospital factors associated with RTI mortality in Cameroon.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF
Article Synopsis
  • Long COVID is a condition that can cause many symptoms after someone has COVID-19 and can make people feel really sick.
  • Some scientists think that parts of the COVID-19 virus might stop the body from making serotonin, a chemical that helps regulate mood, and this could lead to Long COVID symptoms.
  • A study found that people who took a type of medicine called SSRIs, which help boost serotonin levels, had a lower chance of developing Long COVID compared to those who didn't take these medicines.
View Article and Find Full Text PDF
Article Synopsis
  • Patients recovering from COVID-19 often experience lingering symptoms known as Long COVID, which can manifest weeks or months after their initial infection, but the prevalence of this condition is not well understood.
  • To address this, a collaborative initiative called the Long COVID Computational Challenge (L3C) was launched to develop effective risk prediction tools for identifying individuals at risk of Long COVID using extensive healthcare data from over 75 institutions in the U.S.
  • The challenge resulted in 74 teams creating 35 predictive models, with the top models achieving high accuracy scores, demonstrating the potential for machine learning to enhance the identification of patients at risk for Long COVID.
View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Understanding whether influenza vaccine promotion strategies produce community-wide indirect effects is important for establishing vaccine coverage targets and optimizing vaccine delivery. Empirical epidemiologic studies and mathematical models have been used to estimate indirect effects of vaccines but rarely for the same estimand in the same dataset. Using these approaches together could be a powerful tool for triangulation in infectious disease epidemiology because each approach is subject to distinct sources of bias.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Postacute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC), also known as long COVID, is a broad grouping of a range of long-term symptoms following acute COVID-19. These symptoms can occur across a range of biological systems, leading to challenges in determining risk factors for PASC and the causal etiology of this disorder. An understanding of characteristics that are predictive of future PASC is valuable, as this can inform the identification of high-risk individuals and future preventative efforts.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Introduction: While the negative effects of drunk driving, including road traffic injuries (RTIs) have been well documented in high-income countries, little has been reported in African countries like Cameroon. This study aimed to measure the prevalence of alcohol-related RTIs (ARRTIs), its associated factors, and its association with injury severity.

Methods: The Cameroon Trauma Registry prospectively collects trauma data from 10 hospitals in Cameroon.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Introduction: Little is known regarding health care seeking behaviors of women in sub-Saharan Africa, specifically Cameroon, who experience violence. The proportion of women who experienced violence enrolled in the Cameroon Trauma Registry (CTR) is lower than expected.

Methods: We concatenated the databases from the October 2017-December 2020 CTR and 2018 Cameroon Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) into a singular database for cross-sectional study.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Malaria-elimination interventions aim to extinguish hotspots and prevent transmission to nearby areas. Here, we re-analyzed a cluster-randomized trial of reactive, focal interventions (chemoprevention using artemether-lumefantrine and/or indoor residual spraying with pirimiphos-methyl) delivered within 500 m of confirmed malaria index cases in Namibia to measure direct effects (among intervention recipients within 500 m) and spillover effects (among non-intervention recipients within 3 km) on incidence, prevalence and seroprevalence. There was no or weak evidence of direct effects, but the sample size of intervention recipients was small, limiting statistical power.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Objectives: In the US, violations of drinking water regulations are highest in lower-income rural areas overall, and particularly in Central Appalachia. However, data on drinking water use, quality, and associated health outcomes in rural Appalachia are limited. We sought to assess public and private drinking water sources and associated risk factors for waterborne pathogen exposures for individuals living in rural regions of Appalachian Virginia.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

A regulated stress response is essential for healthy child growth and development trajectories. We conducted a cluster-randomized trial in rural Bangladesh (funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01590095) to assess the effects of an integrated nutritional, water, sanitation, and handwashing intervention on child health.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF
Article Synopsis
  • Type 2 diabetes increases COVID-19 severity and mortality rates, prompting research into whether better adherence to metformin, a diabetes medication, could reduce post-infection mortality risk among these patients.
  • This study analyzed data from 61,180 patients who had chronic metformin prescriptions, measuring their adherence levels and the resulting impact on mortality following COVID-19 infection.
  • Findings suggest that higher adherence to metformin (by 5% or 10%) correlates with a decrease in the risk of death post-COVID-19, indicating potential benefits in diabetes management for improving patient outcomes.
View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Water, sanitation, hygiene (WSH), nutrition (N), and combined (N+WSH) interventions are often implemented by global health organizations, but WSH interventions may insufficiently reduce pathogen exposure, and nutrition interventions may be modified by environmental enteric dysfunction (EED), a condition of increased intestinal permeability and inflammation. This study investigated the heterogeneity of these treatments' effects based on individual pathogen and EED biomarker status with respect to child linear growth.

Methods: We applied cross-validated targeted maximum likelihood estimation and super learner ensemble machine learning to assess the conditional treatment effects in subgroups defined by biomarker and pathogen status.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Hundreds of millions of children in low- and middle-income countries are exposed to chronic stressors, such as poverty, poor sanitation and hygiene, and sub-optimal nutrition. These stressors can have physiological consequences for children and may ultimately have detrimental effects on child development. This study explores associations between biological measures of chronic stress in early life and developmental outcomes in a large cohort of young children living in rural Bangladesh.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: The WASH benefits Bangladesh trial multi-component sanitation intervention reduced diarrheal disease among children < 5 years. Intervention components included latrine upgrades, child feces management tools, and behavioral promotion. It remains unclear which components most impacted diarrhea.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF
Article Synopsis
  • Cluster randomized trials help assess public health interventions on a large scale, where small statistical improvements can significantly lower sample size and costs.
  • Pair matching by geographic location increases statistical efficiency for various child health outcomes, showing efficiencies greater than 1.1, often exceeding 2.0.
  • This method allows for better estimation of spatially varying effects while reducing assumptions, highlighting the advantages of geographic pair matching in large trials.
View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Objectives: Elevated intracranial pressure (ICP) is a potentially devastating complication of neurologic injury. Developing an ICP prediction algorithm to help the clinician adjust treatments and potentially prevent elevated ICP episodes.

Design: Retrospective study.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Purpose: Diameter-based guidelines for prophylactic repair of ascending aortic aneurysms have led to routine aortic evaluation in chest imaging. Despite sex differences in aneurysm outcomes, there is little understanding of sex-specific aortic growth rates. Our objective was to evaluate sex-specific temporal changes in radiologist-reported aortic size as well as sex differences in aortic reporting.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF