A Planetary Boundary for Mineral, Metal, and Fossil Resource Extraction Rates: How Much Primary Materials Can a Circular Economy Extract?

Resource consumption is expected to further increase in the next decades. A circular economy could decrease the environmental impact of this resource consumption by minimizing the primary raw materials consumption and minimizing emissions that render materials inaccessible for further use. However, such a circular economy will still have primary raw material inflows, due to population growth, stock expansion, energy transition, and inevitable dissipation.