Enhanced SARS-CoV-2 case prediction using public health data and machine learning models.

Objectives: The goal of this study is to propose and test a scalable framework for machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict near-term severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) cases by incorporating and evaluating the impact of real-time dynamic public health data.

Materials And Methods: Data used in this study include patient-level results, procurement, and location information of all SARS-CoV-2 tests reported in West Virginia as part of their mandatory reporting system from January 2021 to March 2022. We propose a method for incorporating and comparing widely available public health metrics inside of a ML framework, specifically a long-short-term memory network, to forecast SARS-CoV-2 cases across various feature sets.

SARS-CoV-2 variant identification using a genome tiling array and genotyping probes.

With over 5.5 million deaths worldwide attributed to the respiratory disease COVID-19 caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, it is essential that continued efforts be made to track the evolution and spread of the virus globally. The authors previously presented a rapid and cost-effective method to sequence the entire SARS-CoV-2 genome with 95% coverage and 99.

Spatial Stochastic Model of the Pre-B Cell Receptor.

Survival and proliferation of immature B lymphocytes requires expression and tonic signaling of the pre-B cell receptor (pre-BCR). This low level, ligand-independent signaling is likely achieved through frequent, but short-lived, homo interactions. Tonic signaling is also central in the pathology of precursor B acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL).

Modeling the Cluster Size Distribution of Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor (VEGF) Receptors.

We previously developed a method of defining receptor clusters in the membrane based on mutual distance and applied it to a set of transmission microscopy images of vascular endothelial growth factor receptors. An optimal length parameter was identified, resulting in cluster identification and a procedure that assigned a geometric shape to each cluster. We showed that the observed particle distribution results were consistent with the random placement of receptors within the clusters and, to a lesser extent, the random placement of the clusters on the cell membrane.

Predicting increases in COVID-19 incidence to identify locations for targeted testing in West Virginia: A machine learning enhanced approach.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, West Virginia developed an aggressive SARS-CoV-2 testing strategy which included utilizing pop-up mobile testing in locations anticipated to have near-term increases in SARS-CoV-2 infections. This study describes and compares two methods for predicting near-term SARS-CoV-2 incidence in West Virginia counties. The first method, Rt Only, is solely based on producing forecasts for each county using the daily instantaneous reproductive numbers, Rt.

Predicting increases in COVID-19 incidence to identify locations for targeted testing in West Virginia: A machine learning enhanced approach.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, West Virginia developed an aggressive SARS-CoV-2 testing strategy which included utilizing pop-up mobile testing in locations anticipated to have near-term increases in SARS-CXoV-2 infections. In this study, we describe and compare two methods for predicting near-term SARS-CoV-2 incidence in West Virginia counties. The first method, R Only, is solely based on producing forecasts for each county using the daily instantaneous reproductive numbers, R The second method, ML+ R , is a machine learning approach that uses a Long Short-Term Memory network to predict the near-term number of cases for each county using epidemiological statistics such as Rt, county population information, and time series trends including information on major holidays, as well as leveraging statewide COVID-19 trends across counties and county population size.

SARS-CoV-2 Variant Identification Using a Genome Tiling Array and Genotyping Probes.

With over three million deaths worldwide attributed to the respiratory disease COVID-19 caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, it is essential that continued efforts be made to track the evolution and spread of the virus globally. We previously presented a rapid and cost-effective method to sequence the entire SARS-CoV-2 genome with 95% coverage and 99.9% accuracy.

Highly Accurate Chip-Based Resequencing of SARS-CoV-2 Clinical Samples.

SARS-CoV-2 has infected over 128 million people worldwide, and until a vaccine is developed and widely disseminated, vigilant testing and contact tracing are the most effective ways to slow the spread of COVID-19. Typical clinical testing only confirms the presence or absence of the virus, but rather, a simple and rapid testing procedure that sequences the entire genome would be impactful and allow for tracing the spread of the virus and variants, as well as the appearance of new variants. However, traditional short read sequencing methods are time consuming and expensive.

Effect of Spatial Inhomogeneities on the Membrane Surface on Receptor Dimerization and Signal Initiation.

Important signal transduction pathways originate on the plasma membrane, where microdomains may transiently entrap diffusing receptors. This results in a non-random distribution of receptors even in the resting state, which can be visualized as "clusters" by high resolution imaging methods. Here, we explore how spatial in-homogeneities in the plasma membrane might influence the dimerization and phosphorylation status of ErbB2 and ErbB3, two receptor tyrosine kinases that preferentially heterodimerize and are often co-expressed in cancer.

Orchestration of ErbB3 signaling through heterointeractions and homointeractions.

Members of the ErbB family of receptor tyrosine kinases are capable of both homointeractions and heterointeractions. Because each receptor has a unique set of binding sites for downstream signaling partners and differential catalytic activity, subtle shifts in their combinatorial interplay may have a large effect on signaling outcomes. The overexpression and mutation of ErbB family members are common in numerous human cancers and shift the balance of activation within the signaling network.

Analytical solution of steady-state equations for chemical reaction networks with bilinear rate laws.

True steady states are a rare occurrence in living organisms, yet their knowledge is essential for quasi-steady-state approximations, multistability analysis, and other important tools in the investigation of chemical reaction networks (CRN) used to describe molecular processes on the cellular level. Here, we present an approach that can provide closed form steady-state solutions to complex systems, resulting from CRN with binary reactions and mass-action rate laws. We map the nonlinear algebraic problem of finding steady states onto a linear problem in a higher-dimensional space.

Dynamic transition states of ErbB1 phosphorylation predicted by spatial stochastic modeling.

ErbB1 overexpression is strongly linked to carcinogenesis, motivating better understanding of erbB1 dimerization and activation. Recent single-particle-tracking data have provided improved measures of dimer lifetimes and strong evidence that transient receptor coconfinement promotes repeated interactions between erbB1 monomers. Here, spatial stochastic simulations explore the potential impact of these parameters on erbB1 phosphorylation kinetics.

The impact of high density receptor clusters on VEGF signaling.

Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) signaling is involved in the process of blood vessel development and maintenance. Signaling is initiated by binding of the bivalent VEGF ligand to the membrane-bound receptors (VEGFR), which in turn stimulates receptor dimerization. Herein, we discuss experimental evidence that VEGF receptors localize in caveloae and other regions of the plasma membrane, and for other receptors, it has been shown that receptor clustering has an impact on dimerization and thus also on signaling.

Mathematical simulation of membrane protein clustering for efficient signal transduction.

Initiation and propagation of cell signaling depend on productive interactions among signaling proteins at the plasma membrane. These diffusion-limited interactions can be influenced by features of the membrane that introduce barriers, such as cytoskeletal corrals, or microdomains that transiently confine both transmembrane receptors and membrane-tethered peripheral proteins. Membrane topographical features can lead to clustering of receptors and other membrane components, even under very dynamic conditions.

Quantitative understanding of cell signaling: the importance of membrane organization.

Systems biology modeling of signal transduction pathways traditionally employs ordinary differential equations, deterministic models based on the assumptions of spatial homogeneity. However, this can be a poor approximation for certain aspects of signal transduction, especially its initial steps: the cell membrane exhibits significant spatial organization, with diffusion rates approximately two orders of magnitude slower than those in the cytosol. Thus, to unravel the complexities of signaling pathways, quantitative models must consider spatial organization as an important feature of cell signaling.

Towards A Fully Automated High-Throughput Phototransfection System.

We have designed and implemented a framework for creating a fully automated high-throughput phototransfection system. Integrated image processing, laser target position calculation, and stage movements show a throughput increase of > 23X over the current manual phototransfection method while the potential for even greater throughput improvements (> 110X) is described. A software tool for automated off-line single cell morphological measurements, as well as real-time image segmentation analysis, has also been constructed and shown to be able quantify changes in the cell before and after the process, successfully characterizing them, using metrics such as cell perimeter, area, major and minor axis length, and eccentricity values.

Systematic analysis of conservation relations in Escherichia coli genome-scale metabolic network reveals novel growth media.

A biochemical species is called producible in a constraints-based metabolic model if a feasible steady-state flux configuration exists that sustains its nonzero concentration during growth. Extreme semipositive conservation relations (ESCRs) are the simplest semipositive linear combinations of species concentrations that are invariant to all metabolic flux configurations. In this article, we outline a fundamental relationship between the ESCRs of a metabolic network and the producibility of a biochemical species under a nutrient media.

Investigating metabolite essentiality through genome-scale analysis of Escherichia coli production capabilities.

Motivation: A phenotype mechanism is classically derived through the study of a set of mutants and comparison of their biochemical capabilities. One method of comparing mutant capabilities is to characterize producible and knocked out metabolites. However such an effect is difficult to manually assess, especially for a large biochemical network and a complex media.