Optimization Approach for Estimating the Required Amount of Pharmaceuticals in the Russian Federation.

Objectives: To propose an algorithm that relates the effectiveness of drugs for a wide range of diseases with the financial capabilities of patients.

Methods: Estimates of the volume of pharmaceuticals that are consumed in the Russian Federation by all segments of the population regardless of household income were considered. These were calculated using statistically valid probabilities of the appearance of various diseases, official state data on the structure of expenditures of various strata of the population, and the optimal choice of the most effective medicines with income restrictions taken into account.