Effects of sea ice on Baltic Sea eutrophication.

This study investigates the influence of sea ice on eutrophication in the Baltic Sea ecosystem by comparing simulations from 1953 to 2017, with ice and without ice cover. We assessed the impact from ice cover by using eutrophication indicators defined by the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD), the Dia/Dino index and the newly proposed Trophic Transfer Index (TTI). Five out of six indicators suggest a negative impact of sea ice on the eutrophication status of the Baltic Sea, with a marked increase in ice impact observed in the early 1970s, followed by a decline in the late 1980s.

Transport and dispersion of PFOA and PFOS in the Black Sea.

A 3-D transport and dispersion model was applied to study the recent past and future dynamics of perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) and perfluorooctane sulfonic acid (PFOS) concentrations in the Black Sea for the 2016-2030 period. The modelled surface concentrations show a distinct seasonal behaviour, shaped by winter to spring convective mixing. A significant increasing long-term trend in PFOS concentrations is established, with concentrations in water layers 200 m below the surface increasing at 4-8% per year.

Should we reconsider how to assess eutrophication?

Eutrophication in marine waters is traditionally assessed by checking if nutrients, algal biomass and oxygen are below/above a given threshold. However, increased biomass, nutrient concentrations and oxygen demand do not lead to undesirable environmental effects if the flow of carbon/energy from primary producers toward high trophic levels is consistently preserved. Consequently, traditional indicators might provide a misleading assessment of the eutrophication risk.

Determining the distribution and accumulation patterns of floating litter in the Baltic Sea using modelling tools.

Marine plastic floating on the sea surface is an extensive environmental problem. The present study investigated the transport patterns of marine litter and areas of its accumulation in the Baltic Sea by using a hydrodynamic model coupled with a particle-tracking model. We also studied the extent of marine litter from the main polluting rivers.

Tracing water-soluble, persistent substances in the Black Sea.

We apply a tracer model linked with a 3D circulation model to simulate transport and fate of water-soluble persistent substances in the Black Sea that do not bioaccumulate to a considerable extent. The model uses specified degradation time and identical concentrations in the rivers to build a correlation between average concentration in the basin and half-life (DT50). The average concentration in certain sub-regions of the Black Sea can be estimated using an exponential dependence of DT50, if DT50 and concentration in rivers are known.