Parameter estimation and forecasting for multiplicative log-normal cascades.

We study the well-known multiplicative log-normal cascade process in which the multiplication of Gaussian and log normally distributed random variables yields time series with intermittent bursts of activity. Due to the nonstationarity of this process and the combinatorial nature of such a formalism, its parameters have been estimated mostly by fitting the numerical approximation of the associated non-Gaussian probability density function to empirical data, cf. Castaing et al.

Retrobulbar 99mTc-diethylenetriamine-pentaacetic-acid uptake may predict the effectiveness of immunosuppressive therapy in Graves' ophthalmopathy.

Background: In Graves' ophthalmopathy (GO), only patients with immunologically active disease respond to immunosuppressive therapy. Previous studies and theoretical considerations suggest that elevated orbital (99m)Tc-diethylenetriamine-pentaacetic-acid (DTPA) single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) reflects inflammatory disease activity. We studied whether corticosteroid treatment causes a substantial decrease in DTPA uptake in GO, a result consistent with successful immunosuppressive treatment of GO and referred to as a favorable treatment outcome.

Imaging of disease activity in Graves' orbitopathy with different methods: comparison of (99m)Tc-DTPA and (99m)Tc-depreotide single photon emission tomography, magnetic resonance imaging and clinical activity scores.

Background: The immunosuppressive treatment of Graves' orbitopathy (GO) influences the course of the disease in the early, active, retrobulbar inflammatory phase (active GO), which cannot be detected by direct clinical examination.

Aim: To evaluate the clinical effectiveness of a newly developed method for the detection of intraorbital inflammatory activity in patients suffering from Graves' orbitopathy, utilizing a four-headed single photon emission tomograph (SPET) camera and (99m)Tc-diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Tc-DTPA).

Methods: The magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) T2 relaxation time score, as a measure of ongoing orbital inflammation (reference method), was compared with the uptake activities (UA) of (99m)Tc-DTPA orbital SPET and the more specific (99m)Tc-Neospect ((99m)Tc-depreotide) SPET, as well as the clinical activity scores (CAS), in 21 patients (42 orbits).

Volume changes in intra- and extraorbital compartments in patients with Graves' ophthalmopathy: effect of smoking.

The objective of this study was to demonstrate the effect of smoking history on soft tissue expansion in specific orbital compartments in patients with Graves' ophthalmopathy. The volumes of the rectus muscles, intra and extraorbital connective, and soft tissues were measured in 110 orbits of 35 patients and 20 control subjects. Data sets from current smokers, ex-smokers, and non-smokers were compared.