Publications by authors named "A J Jakeman"

Small hydropower (SHP) possesses significant economic, technical, and environmental advantages, and accounts for a large proportion of hydropower development in China. However, the concentrated, cascaded, and diversion-type development of SHP has resulted in long-distance dewatering of river sections, and inter-basin water transfers have led to severe exploitation of water resources and damage to river ecosystems. In this paper, the Datong River Basin, a secondary sub-basin of the Yellow River Basin in China, was selected as the illustrative case, which includes 22 hydropower projects (HPPs) and three inter-basin water diversion projects (WDPs).

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In this synthesis, we assess present research and anticipate future development needs in modeling water quality in watersheds. We first discuss areas of potential improvement in the representation of freshwater systems pertaining to water quality, including representation of environmental interfaces, in-stream water quality and process interactions, soil health and land management, and (peri-)urban areas. In addition, we provide insights into the contemporary challenges in the practices of watershed water quality modeling, including quality control of monitoring data, model parameterization and calibration, uncertainty management, scale mismatches, and provisioning of modeling tools.

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Article Synopsis
  • The BladderPath trial aims to evaluate a new diagnosis and treatment pathway for bladder cancer to improve patient outcomes, which have remained stagnant for 30 years.
  • A novel data collection method using routine NHS data will be tested, avoiding traditional patient-healthcare professional contact post-recruitment.
  • Preliminary findings indicate strong sensitivity in identifying surgical events (98%) but lower sensitivity for radiotherapy regimens (69%), along with promising 5-year survival rates reported for various treatment groups.
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  • System-of-systems approaches are increasingly used for integrated assessments, combining various models from different disciplines to better inform policy and decision-making related to socio-environmental systems.
  • The paper highlights challenges in integrating these diverse models due to their discipline-specific origins, leading to inconsistencies in how socio-environmental systems are understood and represented.
  • A multidisciplinary team calls for stronger emphasis on scale, uncertainty, and interdisciplinary communication, advocating for a unified vision and funding to foster collaborative research for effective solutions to socio-environmental issues.
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This paper reviews the latest research on scenarios including the processes and products for socio-environmental systems (SES) analysis, modeling and decision making. A group of scenario researchers and practitioners participated in a workshop to discuss consolidation of existing research on the development and use of scenario analysis in exploring and understanding the interplay between human and environmental systems. This paper presents an extended overview of the workshop discussions and follow-up review work.

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